The following appeared in the opinion section of a national newsmagazine:
“To reverse the deterioration of the postal service, the government should raise the price of postage stamps. This solution will no doubt prove effective, since the price increase will generate larger revenues and will also reduce the volume of mail, thereby eliminating the strain on the existing system and contributing to improved morale.”
Discuss how well reasoned you find this argument. In your discussion
The argument presented in the national newsmagazine that price increase will contribute to better conditions of postal service is bad reasoned and thus weak. It does not account for the essential connection between revenues and sell volume. Not does it provide the initial reasons of deterioration of the postal service in order to gauge the given solution. Furthermore, there is no any supported information about any other items apart from postage stamps which could affect the postal revenues and, in turns, reverse the deterioration.
First, the author of the argument assumes that the increased prices will necessarily boost the total income. However, it is not always the case. As the author himself put it, the increased prices will result to reduced volume of mail. It is wide known that the rotation in the business is the key factor of success, and therefore the reduction of volume can, on the contrary, reduce the income, and therefore weaken the reasoning of the argument as a whole.
Second, there are no references in the argument regarding to the inferences of the current deterioration of the postal service. For example, if the postal service has enough funds to reverse the deterioration, however the decision makers of the enterprise follow another priorities, the reasoning of the argument is again arguable.
Last, assuming that to improve situation it is, in fact, necessarily to improve the income, the author still does not provide any information with respect to another expenses of the customer at the postal service, such as the prices of envelopes, the costs of the delivery and so on. The readers know nothing about the price change of all these components; hence it is again hard to analyze the total income.
The argument could be strengthened if the author clearly explained his logic flow and provide more information to exclude all of the reader’s doubts.
As it stands, however, the argument is unwarranted for the reasons indicated.