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Probability is one of the most important GMAT Quant topics because it often combines logic, counting, set theory, and permutations & combinations. Many students try to solve probability questions by listing every possible case, but GMAT probability...
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Question: There are 6 team members. 4 have to be selected. What is probability that 2 particular members, say X and Y, are both selected.
Approach 1: Total possible outcomes = 6! / (4! x 2!) = 15 teams Winning outcomes where 2 particular members are on team= 4! /(2! x 2!) = 6 Therefore probability that 2 particular members on team = 6/15 = 2/5
Approach 2: let X be selected first, Y second, "Some other" third, "Some other" fourth - to make a four member team out of 6.
Therefore probability = 1/6 x 1/5 x 4/4 x 3/3 = 1/30 But since order does not matter, actual probability = 1/30 x 4! = 4/5
OA : 2/5
Whats wrong with approach 2
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Well I think that it's just the Permutation formula,
First, you find the probability of 1 possible arrangement (Member X first (1/6), Member Y second (1/5)) Second, you calculate the possible permutations of 2 members in a group of 4 \(\frac{4!}{2!}\) Finally, you multiply the number of possible permutations by the probability of 1 specific permutation.
That's the only logic I can see in this method, let's see if an expert passes by. However, I think method #1 is easier and faster.
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