Thanks for reaching out! In terms of recommenders, if your only option at the Japanese company is someone who's not familiar with what you do, I would not ask him. It's critical that a recommender have intimate, direct experience with your work (ideally overseeing it in a supervisor role) since any praise in the letter needs to be backed up with proof via examples. The adcom is not going to just take his word for it about how great you are -- every recommender needs to PROVE it with concrete examples. The LOR frequently asks for a time that person has given you some kind of constructive feedback so you also need someone who will be able to answer that question effectively. Many schools do ask for a current direct manager & if you're unable to provide one you'll want to use the optional essay to briefly explain that doing so would put your job at risk. That is not a deal breaker, but it will be critical to have two other strong recommenders in their place.
I was a little confused about the non-profit you said you started working with 6 months ago vs. the nonprofit where you worked for one year? I'm assuming these are two different non-profits and one was full time work experience whereas the other (6 month one) is an extracurricular? It's fine to have one of your recommenders be from an extracurricular -- again assuming he/she has directly overseen your work & can speak to it with specifics. I think the person you mentioned is definitely the better option compared to the person from your current job.
In terms of schools, it's a bit tough to say for sure without more information -- a lot will depend on the quantifiable results you can show that you drove at work (i.e. increasing revenue, cutting costs, leading teams, launching new initiatives, bringing on new clients, etc). Just based on what you shared here, I think the schools you listed here will be more in the reach category. If you can improve your GMAT to a 740+ that would make top ten more realistic for you. That's not to say I wouldn't apply to any top ten schools at all, but they will be in the reach category. UCLA would be a good option for you - it will still be a bit of a reach with a 710 but you have a solid shot at it.
I'd also consider rethinking your goals. Although there's an international element to both, there's not a clear link between the nonprofit work you did & the current work you're doing (which sounds like it might be an import/export business?). Ideally you want to tell a linear story that starts with your past experience & naturally progresses to your ST & LT career goals. The problem with consulting is that 1) it's a very common goal - so it's tough to differentiate yourself and 2) On paper at least, it doesn't look like a natural progression from the work you've done so far. It's also a very common (and very tough) goal to say you want to start your own boutique consulting firm. So again, tough to differentiate yourself -- and tough to make a convincing argument that you will be able to compete with all the existing consulting firms out there already (who will have more resources than you will). If marketing is a passion of yours, it might be worth considering a marketing-related post-MBA goal, possibly in the nonprofit space since you have experience there -- or something international since you've got strong international work experience as well. It's hard to say for sure -- this is a place where we spend a lot of time really going deep with clients & I don't have enough info about you to give you solid advice about what goal might be a stronger option, but I will say I think the consulting one will pose some challenges.
Definitely reach out to us if you would like some more specific direction. If you email Claudia at
[email protected] she'd be happy to set you up with a free consultation with one of our MBA consultants who can take a look at your resume & do some initial chatting about your goals and your candidacy!