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Vicky
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PS: probability Updated on: 10 Oct 2003, 05:00
Originally posted by Vicky on 08 Oct 2003, 09:38.
Last edited by Vicky on 10 Oct 2003, 05:00, edited 1 time in total.
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There was a typo, read question as:

If P(A) = 0.83, P(B) = 0.25. If C is a set of possible values of probability that A & B both occur, Find the range of C?



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Vicky
praet you asked for some good problems in probability, statistics...

Two events A & B are independent. If P(A) = 0.83, P(B) = 0.25.
If C is a set of possible values of probability that A & B both occur, Find the range of C?


If the events are independent .. P(A/B) = P(A) similarly ...P(B/A) = P(B)

P(A and B) = P(A ) * P (B) = 0.83 * 0.25 = 0.83/4

Is there a range for the values of C...there is just one probability...

i guess the range is 0.

thanks
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seems like 0, for A and B both have to occure
The range is possible when A occures, but B does not, both does not, and so on.
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Folks there was a type with the question. Kindly read as:
Two events A & B are such that P(A) = 0.83, P(B) = 0.25. If C is a set of possible values of probability that A & B both occur, Find the range of C?
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Vicky
Folks there was a type with the question. Kindly read as:
Two events A & B are such that P(A) = 0.83, P(B) = 0.25. If C is a set of possible values of probability that A & B both occur, Find the range of C?


Ok so we dont know if the events are independent or not.

P(A/B) = P(A and B) / P(B)

C = P(A/B) * P(B)

We have two cases

1. Both events can be mutually exclusive...as in... heads on a coin and a six on a die..

P(A/B) = 1

2. Both events can be independent , in that case ...

P(A/B) = P(B) ..In case , the required probability is 0.83/4

3. Both events cannot occur together ..as in.. heads and tails in the same toss.

P(A/B) = 0


Range : Max - Min = 1 - 0 = 1 ?

thanks
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Vicky
Folks there was a type with the question. Kindly read as:
Two events A & B are such that P(A) = 0.83, P(B) = 0.25. If C is a set of possible values of probability that A & B both occur, Find the range of C?

Ok so we dont know if the events are independent or not.

P(A/B) = P(A and B) / P(B)

C = P(A/B) * P(B)

We have two cases

1. Both events can be mutually exclusive...as in... heads on a coin and a six on a die..

P(A/B) = 1

2. Both events can be independent , in that case ...

P(A/B) = P(B) ..In case , the required probability is 0.83/4

3. Both events cannot occur together ..as in.. heads and tails in the same toss.

P(A/B) = 0


Range : Max - Min = 1 - 0 = 1 ?

thanks
praetorian


there should be no difference between 1 and 3. Mutually exclusive events are, by definition, events that cannot happen at the same time.
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praet try again... not the correct approach.
thanks
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praet try again... not the correct approach.
thanks

Quote:
If P(A) = 0.83, P(B) = 0.25. If C is a set of possible values of probability that A & B both occur, Find the range of C?


lets try again.

P(A) + P(B) >1 , so the events are NOT mutually exclusive.

P(A or B ) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - C = 0.83 + 0.25 - C = 1.108 - C

Maximum value of C is when events are independent, C = P(A) * P(B) = 0.83 * 0.25

Minimum is C = 0.108 (C cant be 0 as the events are NOT mutually exclusive)

Range = (0.83 * 0.25 - 0.108) = 0.21 - 0.108 = 0.102

Range = 0.102

Vicky, could you please post more of these?
Also , you mentioned you had a tough combinations problem ...could you post a "similar " problem ?

Thanks
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very good.. u are on target..but missed it slightly.
First, a silly mistake in calculation
P(A or B or both) = 1.08 - P(A & B)
It is correct that Minimum of P(A&B) = .08


praet why do u say that max of P(A & B) occurs when events are independent? Independent events just mean that probaility of one does not affect that of other i.e. outcome of second event is idependent of outcome of first and vice-versa.

Okay, Now how do u find the maximum?
Can u use set theory. Just draw two vien diagram of A & B, knowing that they intersect. Can u find out for what set A & B intersection will be Max.
thanks.
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Vicky
very good.. u are on target..but missed it slightly.
First, a silly mistake in calculation
P(A or B or both) = 1.08 - P(A & B)
It is correct that Minimum of P(A&B) = .08


praet why do u say that max of P(A & B) occurs when events are independent? Independent events just mean that probaility of one does not affect that of other i.e. outcome of second event is idependent of outcome of first and vice-versa.

Okay, Now how do u find the maximum?
Can u use set theory. Just draw two vien diagram of A & B, knowing that they intersect. Can u find out for what set A & B intersection will be Max.
thanks.


Thanks...minimum is 0.08.
yeah, i was totally wrong.

Maximum will occur when B is a subset of A.
In that case , C =0.25
Maximum C = 0.25

Range..0.25 - 0.08 = 0.17

Hope i am right this time.

Do you have more questions like these ?

Thanks
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There u go... good. a simple but conceptual question.
i invented this question after reading prob. notes of OG.
will see if i can come up with more.
thanks



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