The following appeared as part of an article in a daily newspaper:
"The computerized on-board warning system that will be installed in commercial airliners will virtually solve the problem of midair plane collisions. One plane's warning system can receive signals from another's transponder--a radio set that signals a plane's course--in order to determine the likelihood of a collision and recommend evasive action."
In drawing this conclusion author not only fails to account the statistical data pertinent to mid air collision but also draws conclusion without any evidence. Furthermore, Author’s conclusion is too strong without substantiating premises. Author also overlooks various other possibility relevant to midair collision .There are several flaws for the above argument.
First, Author concluded that the computerized on-board warning system that will be installed in commercial airlines will virtually solve the problem of midair plane collision without considering the other categories of aircraft. For example, there is a possibility of collision between cargo aircraft and fighter aircraft. Author must try to consider all the factors to recommend a prudent decision.
Second, Author argues that one plane’s warning system can receive signals from another’s transponder in order to determine the likelihood of collision and recommend evasive action. However, author ignored the fact that planes travel at very high speed, which doesn’t give pilot ample amount of time to react and to take evasive action. Furthermore, there are variety of airlines on global scale and it is not feasible to convince every airline to buy such warning system.
Third, Author assumes that there is no other radio signal, which could interfere with plane’s radio signal. For example, almost in every commercial airlines there are strict instruction given by cabin crew to switch off the mobile or place it on airplane mode to avoid interference of radio signals. The interference could worsen the situation rather than resolving it. In this case author must identify and explore relevant factors to justify the solution. Furthermore, Author haven’t provided any statistical data about frequency of midair collision. It is possible that there are negligible midair collision.
If author could avoid the items mentioned above, the argument should have been more logical and credible. The argument could be strengthen if the author provided information considering all variety of aircrafts, feasibility and statistical data. As it stands, however the argument is flawed for the reasons indicated.