The recently announced dissolution of the Freedom Party, a major national political party, will not benefit the one other major national political party, the Liberty Party. It will, however, help third parties, including the Workers Party, who will now take more votes away from the Liberty Party in the upcoming national presidential race than would have been taken by the Freedom Party, had it not been dissolved.
Which of the following, if true, would cast the most serious doubt on the claim made in the last sentence above?The claim is that, after the Freedom Party disappears, third parties will take more votes from the Liberty Party in the upcoming presidential race than the Freedom Party would have taken. So the best weakener is the one that most directly shows that this prediction about third parties in that race cannot hold.
A direct factual block is stronger than an indirect shift in voter preference.(A) Name recognition is a better predictor of a political party's success than how well its positions match with public opinion.
This is too general. It does not tell us whether third parties will actually take more votes from Liberty in this election.
(B) Most voters had considered the Freedom Party and the Liberty Party to have very similar positions on most key issues.
This weakens the claim somewhat, because it suggests former Freedom voters might move to Liberty rather than to third parties. But it is still only indirect.
(C) The Workers Party only runs political candidates in local elections, including those for city council members, assemblymen, and mayors.
This is the strongest weakener.
The claim specifically says third parties, including the Workers Party, will take more votes from Liberty in the upcoming national presidential race. But if the Workers Party does not run candidates in presidential elections, then it cannot take any votes in that race. That directly undercuts the prediction made in the conclusion.
(D) Polls indicate that most voters believe that candidates for third parties are more honest and trustworthy than are candidates for major national parties.
This actually tends to support the claim that third parties may gain votes.
(E) The dissolution of a major political party inevitably causes many voters to change their long-standing voting habits and vote for parties they have never voted for in the past.
This is too vague. Those voters could move either to Liberty or to third parties.
Answer: (C)