The author's conclusion is:
When smokers are assigned to healthy program like aerobic exercise --> More likely to quit smoking
(A) Regular exercise prevents weight gain.
Strengthens, smokers would be more attracted towards quitting smoking as their weight won't be lost, this increases the confidence that the key to quitting
("..replacing an unhealthy activity with a healthy one") would work.
(B) Each group in the study included four hundred randomly selected participants.
Strengthens, random sampling increases the confidence that the study was conducted properly and there was no sample bias present in the study which can cast a doubt.
(C) Nonsmokers accustomed to regular exercise do not gain weight when they stop exercising.
No Impact, this option is actually repeating what we are already given in the argument. It leans towards the fact that smoking (without any exercise) leads to weight gain for smokers. Thus, this has no impact for our conclusion.
(D) Aerobic exercise can stimulate the brain's production of endorphins, which reduce tension.
Strengthens, this option increases the confidence by establishing a relation between aerobic exercise and tension reduction.
Overall, the chain reaction is:
Aerobic exercise --> release of endorphins --> tension reduction --> Helps to quit smoking
(E) Of those in the second group in the study, 38 percent had not smoked at the one-year mark.
Strengthens, this option increases our confidence by showing that the plan is quite effective as 40% had not smoked at the one-
month mark and 38% had not smoked at the one-
year mark