In 1983 Argonia’s currency, the argon, underwent a reduction in value relative to the
world’s strongest currencies. This reduction resulted in a significant increase in
Argonia’s exports over 1982 levels. In 1987 a similar reduction in the value of the
argon led to another increase in Argonia’s exports. Faced with the need to increase
exports yet again, Argonia’s finance minister has proposed another reduction in the
value of the argon.
Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance
minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?
A. The value of the argon rose sharply last year against the world’s strongest
currencies.
B. In 1988 the argon lost a small amount of its value, and Aronian exports rose
slightly in 1989.
C. The value of Argonia’s exports was lower last year than it was the year before.
D. All of Argonia’s export products are made by factories that were operating at
full capacity last year, and new factories would take years to build.
E. Reductions in the value of the argon have almost always led to significant
reductions in the amount of goods and services that Argonians purchase from
abroad.
OA
I think this is an easy question - but again, maybe that is because I am an economist
A. Doesn't tell us anything about whether a decline in the argon will boost exports.
B. Offers weak support for the reverse of the claim that we are asked to support.
C. We don't know the value of the argon in "last year and the year before".
E. Tells us that a reduction in argon leads to decreased imports => irrelevant.
D. If all exporting companies are working at full capacity now and it will take years to increase this capacity, it's impossible to immediately increase exports. Hence this is the answer.