Aside from yielding cotton fiber, the cotton plant produces oil-rich seeds from which oil for human consumption is extracted. The seeds contain a natural poison, however, that must be carefully removed before the oil is extracted. The expense of removing the poison makes cottonseed oil relatively expensive. If biotechnological researchers succeed in engineering cotton whose seeds lack the poison, cottonseed oil could be made more cheaply and sales, therefore, would greatly expand.The conclusion of the argument is the following:
If biotechnological researchers succeed in engineering cotton whose seeds lack the poison, cottonseed oil could be made more cheaply and sales, therefore, would greatly expand.The support for the conclusion is the following:
The seeds contain a natural poison ... that must be carefully removed before the oil is extracted. The expense of removing the poison makes cottonseed oil relatively expensive.So, the reasoning of the argument is that, since the expense of removing the poison makes cottonseed oil expensive, if cotton without the poison can be created, cottonseed oil will be cheaper to produce.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?The correct answer will provide information indicating that, even though the premises are true, the conclusion may not be.
A. Cottonseeds can also be used to feed livestock, but only after the poison they contain has been removed.The information provided by this choice indicates that there is anothoer reason to create cotton without the poison, to produce cottonseeds suitable for livestock feed.
At the same time, the fact that there is another reason to create cotton without the poison doesn't weaken the case for the conclusion of this argument, which is specifically about producing cottonseed oil less expensively.
In other words, this general fact about another use of cottonseeds has no bearing on whether creating cotton without the poison will enable less expensive production of cottonseed oil.
Eliminate.
B. There is no commercial use for the poison that cottonseeds contain.The correct answer must weaken the case for the conclusion that "If biotechnological researchers succeed in engineering cotton whose seeds lack the poison, cottonseed oil could be made more cheaply and sales, therefore, would greatly expand."
However, if anything, this choice is in line with the argument.
After all, if there's no commercial use for the poison, then one possible downside to creating cotton without the poison, loss of a commercial benefit, is ruled out.
Eliminate.
C. Biotechnological researchers believe that it will be possible to engineer poison-free cotton without interfering with the quality of the fiber it produces.If anything, this choice strengthens, rather than weakens, the argument.
After all, if it's possible to produce poison-free cotton without interfering with the quality of the fiber it produces then the possibility that there will be some kind of new expense associated with a reduction in fiber quality is eliminated.
The elimination of that possibiliity helps to confirm that, "If biotechnological researchers succeed in engineering cotton whose seeds lack the poison, cottonseed oil could be made more cheaply."
Eliminate.
D. The poison that cottonseeds contain protects them from being eaten by birds that are serious pests of other seed crops.This choice may seem irrelevant since it's about birds eating seeds rather than about producing cottonseed oil. However, if we consider this choice carefully, we can make the following common-sense connection.
If it's true that the poison that cottonseeds contain protects them from being eaten by birds that are serious pests of other seed crops, then if cotton without the poison is created, it won't be protected from birds the way cotton usually is. In that case, birds will likely start eating the cottonseeds, in which case producing cottonseed oil will involve new costs, the costs associated with keeping birds from eating the seeds.
If producing cottonseed oil from cotton without the poison would likely involve such new costs, then it could be that it won't be any cheaper than producing it from the cotton with the poison.
So, this choice casts doubt on the conclusion and weakens the argument.
Keep.
E. The cost of removing the poison from cottonseeds has been brought down as far as currently available techniques permit.This choice strengthens, rather than weakens, the argument.
After all, if the cost of removing the poison from cottonseeds has been brought down as far as currently available techniques permit, then it's likely that, through creating cotton without the poison, cottonseed oil can be made more cheaply than it otherwise would be. After all, in that case, the cost of making cottonseed oil using the cotton with the poison isn't going down any time soon.
Eliminate.
Correct answer: D