Bunuel
Over the last eight years, the Federal Reserve Bank has raised the prime interest rate by a quarter-point more than ten times. The Bank raises rates when its Board of Governors fears inflation and lowers rates when the economy is slowing down.
Which of the following is the most logical conclusion for the paragraph above?
(A) The Federal Reserve should be replaced with regional banks that can respond more quickly to changing economic conditions.
(B) The Federal Reserve has raised the prime rate in recent years to try to control inflation.
(C) The economy has entered a prolonged recession caused by Federal Reserve policies.
(D) The monetary policy of the United States is no longer controlled by the Federal Reserve.
(E) The Federal Reserve has consistently raised the prime rate over the last several years.
rohan2345
OFFICIAL EXPLANATION:
You know from the language that this is a drawing-conclusions question, so you don’t have to look for a conclusion in the argument. Just read through the premises and formulate a quick conclusion, something like “Because the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates many times over the last eight years, it must fear inflation.”
Eliminate answer choices that aren’t relevant or that contain information not presented by the premises. The argument says nothing about regional banks or the termination of the Federal Reserve’s control over U.S. monetary policy, so you can disregard Choices (A) and (D). Then get rid of any choices that don’t take all premises into consideration. Choice (E) just reiterates the first premise, so it’s wrong. You’re left with Choices (B) and (C), but Choice (C) contradicts the information in the premises. The problem says the Federal Reserve responds to the economy, not the other way around, so it’d be wrong to say the Federal Reserve causes a recession. Choice (B) is clearly the best answer. It takes into consideration the information that the Federal Reserve has raised rates and that raising rates is its response to inflation.
Be careful to avoid relying on outside knowledge or opinions when answering drawing conclusions questions. You may have studied the Federal Reserve Bank and have opinions about monetary policy. Choices (A), (C), and (D) reflect some possible opinions about the Federal Reserve. Don’t get trapped into choosing an answer because it supports your opinion.