If you are Joey and you invite 12 guests, it means that the sum of the outcomes was 12. So, basically, this problem is asking you to find the probability of the sum of the outcomes being 12, when a dice is thrown thrice.
Probability (Sum of the throws being 12) = \(\frac{Number of outcomes favorable to the event }{ Total Possible Outcomes}\)
The first thing we can determine in this case is the number of total possible outcomes. Since the dice has been thrown thrice, the total possible outcomes will be 6*6*6 = 216. Therefore, the denominator has to be 216 or its factors.
Note that 16 is not a factor of 216, so we can eliminate answer option B.
The number of ways in which we can obtain a sum of 12 can be calculated as follows:
A sum of 12 can be obtained as {4,4,4} in one way.
A sum of 12 can be obtained as {3,4,5} in a total of 6 ways. Remember getting 3 on the first, 4 on the second and 5 on the third throw is entirely different from getting it in the reverse order. The order in which the numbers appear, matters. Hence, we try to find out the number of ways in which the objects 3,4 and 5 can be permuted. Since there are 3 distinct objects, we can permute them in 3! Ways i.e. 6 ways.
A sum of 12 can also be obtained as {2,4,6} in 6 ways and as {1,5,6} in 6 ways respectively.
A sum of 12 can be obtained as {3,3,6} in\(\frac{ 3!}{2!}\) Ways i.e. 3 ways. Likewise with the combination of {2,5,5}.
Therefore, the total number of favourable outcomes = 1+6+6+6+3+3 = 25.
The required probability = \(\frac{25 }{ 216}\).
The correct answer option is E.
When you are dealing with questions like these on probability, bear in mind that
you need to consider the different permutations since the order in which the numbers turn up matters.
While trying to arrive at the combinations,
try to fix one number and work out the combination for the other two numbers. I second
PrepTap on this. This is the fastest approach, it also ensures that you do not miss out on any combination.
Hope that helps!