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A computer program generates a single digit by a random process, according to which the probability of generating any digit is directly proportional to the reciprocal of one more than that digit. If all digits are possible to generate, then the probability of generating an odd prime digit is between

A. 0 and 1/6
B. 1/6 and 1/3
C. 1/3 and 1/2
D. 1/2 and 2/3
E. 2/3 and 5/6

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Solution:

Since the sum of the probabilities of generating each single digit is 1, we can create the equation:

k + (1/2)k + (1/3)k + … + (1/10)k = 1

where k, (1/2)k, (1/3)k, …, (1/10)k are the probabilities of generating 0, 1, 2, …, 9, respectively.

We can factor out k from the equation above:

k[1 + 1/2 + 1/3 + … + 1/10] = 1

Let S = 1 + 1/2 + 1/3 + … + 1/10, so we have:

k * S = 1

k = 1/S

Now, let’s find a lower estimate and an upper estimate for S (note: the italic terms are less than the corresponding terms in S, the bold terms are greater and the regular ones are equal):

1/4 + 1/4 + 1/4 + 1/4 + 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/16 + 1/16 < S < 1 + 1/2 + 1/2 + 1/4 + 1/4 + 1/4 + 1/4 + 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8

1 + 1/2 + 1/8 < S < 1 + 1 + 1 + 3/8

(8 + 4 + 1)/8 < S < (8 + 8 + 8 + 3)/8

13/8 < S < 27/8

Since k = 1/S, we have:

8/27 < k < 8/13

The probability of generating an odd prime digit (i.e., 3, 5, and 7) is k[1/4 + 1/6 + 1/8] = k(13/24). If k is 8/27, then this probability is 8/27 * 13/24 ≈ 1/2 *1/3 = 1/6. If k is 8/19, then this probability is
8/13 * 13/24 = 1/1 * 1/3 = 1/3. We see that the desired probability is between 1/6 and 1/3.

Answer: B

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A computer program generates a single digit by a random process, according to which the probability of generating any digit is directly proportional to the reciprocal of one more than that digit.

If all digits are possible to generate, then the probability of generating an odd prime digit is between

The probability of generating digit D = k* 1/(D+1) = k/(D+1)

The probability of generating digit 0 = k* 1/(0+1) = k
The probability of generating digit 1 = k* 1/(1+1) = k/2
The probability of generating digit 2 = k* 1/(2+1) = k/3
The probability of generating digit 3 = k* 1/(3+1) = k/4
The probability of generating digit 4 = k* 1/(4+1) = k/5
The probability of generating digit 5 = k* 1/(5+1) = k/6
The probability of generating digit 6 = k* 1/(6+1) = k/7
The probability of generating digit 7 = k* 1/(7+1) = k/8
The probability of generating digit 8 = k* 1/(8+1) = k/9
The probability of generating digit 9 = k* 1/(9+1) = k/10

Since the computer program generates a single digit by a random process, combined probability = 1

k + k/2 + k/3 + k/4 + .... + k/10 = 1
k (1+.5 +.3 + .25 + .2 + .17 + .14 + .13 + .11 + .1) = 1
2.9k = 1;
k = 1/2.9 = 10/29 = .35 approx

Odd prime digits = {3,5,7}
The probability of generating odd prime digits = k/4 + k/6 + k/8 = (.25+.17+.125)k = .545*.35 = .19 approx
1/6 = .17; 1/3 = .33

IMO B
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