Let's break this down step by step using simple counting.
We're told:
- Total students:
100- Boys:
40- Wear glasses:
30- Boys who wear glasses:
15The question says: given that the selected student does NOT wear glasses, what's the probability it's a boy?
Step 1: Find how many students do NOT wear glasses.
Total students minus glasses-wearers =
100 -
30 =
70 students without glasses.
Step 2: Find how many BOYS do NOT wear glasses.
Total boys minus boys with glasses =
40 -
15 =
25 boys without glasses.
Step 3: Now here's the key. Since we already KNOW the student doesn't wear glasses, our universe shrinks from
100 to just those
70 non-glasses students. Out of these
70, how many are boys?
25.
So the probability =
25/
70 =
5/
14.
Answer: DThe most common mistake here is dividing 25 by 100 (getting 1/4) instead of 70. But remember — when the problem says "given that" or "if we know that," it's a
conditional probability question. You must restrict your total to only the group that satisfies the given condition. Here, that group is the
70 students who don't wear glasses, not all
100 students.
General principle: In conditional probability, always ask yourself — what is my new total? The condition given in the problem redefines your denominator.