In questions on probability, especially a question like the above, the best approach is to stick to the basics – use the fundamental equation used to calculate Probability.
Probability of an Event = \(\frac{Number of outcomes of the Experiment favourable to the event}{ Total Possible Outcomes of the Event (also known as Sample Space)}\).
You see how this simplifies problem solving. You just have to identify the experiment and the event. The experiment will give you the total number of outcomes and the event will show you the favourable outcomes.
The experiment that we are doing in this question is ‘
to pick 2 socks at random from a drawer containing 8 socks’. Using counting methods, we know that the number of ways in which this experiment can be done is 8*7 ,since we are picking sequentially without replacement. Now, this is our denominator.
Of the 8 socks, let’s say ‘x’ are black; therefore (8-x) are not black.
The event for which we are trying to calculate probability – both the socks that we picked should be black.
This can happen in \(x_C_2\) ways i.e. \(\frac{x(x-1) }{ 2}\) ways. This is our numerator.
Therefore, we are trying to find the value of \(\frac{x(x-1) }{ 112}\) which should tell us that any data that gives us x will be sufficient data.
From statement I alone, the probability that the first sock is black is less than 0.2. This means,
\(\frac{x}{8}\) < \(\frac{1}{5}\) (remember, 0.2 = \(\frac{1}{5}\)). Simplifying, we have x < \(\frac{8}{5}\) which essentially means x<2. Since the number of socks needs to be a whole value, this only means that there is ONE black socks or NONE i.e. x = 0 or 1.
Substituting either of these values in the expression that we derived from the question data, we see that the probability turns out to be ZERO in both cases.
Thus, statement I alone is sufficient to say that the probability is ZERO. Answer options B, C and E can be eliminated. The possible answer options at this stage are A or D.
From statement II alone, the probability that the first sock is white is more than 0.8. If you look at this statement carefully, it’s actually telling what statement I said, albeit in a different way.
So, \(\frac{(8-x) }{ 8}\) > \(\frac{4 }{ 5}\) (remember, 0.8 = \(\frac{4 }{ 5}\)). Simplifying, we have (8-x) > \(\frac{32 }{ 5}\) which essentially means (8-x) > 6 which leads us to the same conclusion that x < 2. So, again x = 0 or 1. We know what answer we got previously with these values.
So, statement II alone is also sufficient. Answer option A can be eliminated.
The correct answer option is D.
Hope that helps!