It's been quite some time since this was posted, but I have a quick question about how to solve this problem using fractional probability instead of combinatorics. I tried to solve the problem using the following:
\(P(\geq{\text{2 Triplets}})=P(\text{2 Triplets})+P(\text{3 Triplets})\)
\(P(\geq{ \text{2 Triplets}})=(\frac{3}{9} \times \frac{2}{8} \times \frac{6}{7})+(\frac{3}{9} \times \frac{2}{8} \times \frac{1}{7})\)
\(P(\geq{ \text{2 Triplets}})=\frac{6}{84}+\frac{1}{84}=\frac{7}{84}\)
I realize that in order to get to the original answer, I would have had to multiply the initial \(\frac{6}{84}\) by 3, and proceed to calculate \(\frac{19}{84}\), but I do not understand why this is the case, since the order of the triplets should not matter.
In another problem from
MGMAT's CAT test, I was able to solve for the desired probability using fractional probabilities only:
"Bill has a small deck of 12 playing cards made up of only 2 suits of 6 cards each. Each of the 6 cards within a suit has a different value from 1 to 6; thus, for each value from 1 to 6, there are two cards in the deck with that value. Bill likes to play a game in which he shuffles the deck, turns over 4 cards, and looks for pairs of cards that have the same value. What is the chance that Bill finds at least one pair of cards that have the same value?"
\(P(\geq \text{1 pair})=1- \text{ P}( \text{No Pairs})\)
\(P(\geq \text{1 pair})=1-(\frac{12}{12} \times \frac{10}{11} \times \frac{8}{10} \times \frac{6}{9})=1-\frac{16}{33}=\frac{17}{33}\)
Of course, this problem could have also been solved using combinatorics, but I feel the fractional approach would probably be quicker in a live scenario. However, over the course of my review, I've found the fractional method to be unreliable, whereas combinatorics are typically universally applicable (though they can take significantly longer in some instances).
I am curious as to why the solution for the second problem involving the playing cards worked whereas my solution to the original triplet question did not. I am not really sure why I have to multiply that initial \(\frac{6}{84}\) by 3 to get the right answer, and I would like to have a concrete understanding of this issue to help me solve similar problems.