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03 Mar 2021, 02:55
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Question: The oasis outpost of Abu Ilan, in the heart of the Negev desert, has a population of 20
Bedouin tribesmen and 20 Farima tribesmen. El Kamin, a nearby oasis, has a population of 32
Bedouins and 8 Farima. A lost Israeli soldier, accidentally separated from his army unit, is
wandering through the desert and arrives at the edge of one of the oases. The soldier has no
idea which oasis he has found, but the first person he spots at a distance is a Bedouin. What is
the probability that he wandered into Abu Ilan? What is the probability that he is in El Kamin?
If the lost Israeli soldier decides to rest for a few minutes before entering the desert oasis he
has just found. Closing his eyes, he dozes off for 15 minutes, wakes, and walks toward the
center of the oasis. The first person he spots this time he again recognizes as a Bedouin. What
is the posterior probability that he is in El Kamin?
Bedouin tribesmen and 20 Farima tribesmen. El Kamin, a nearby oasis, has a population of 32
Bedouins and 8 Farima. A lost Israeli soldier, accidentally separated from his army unit, is
wandering through the desert and arrives at the edge of one of the oases. The soldier has no
idea which oasis he has found, but the first person he spots at a distance is a Bedouin. What is
the probability that he wandered into Abu Ilan? What is the probability that he is in El Kamin?
If the lost Israeli soldier decides to rest for a few minutes before entering the desert oasis he
has just found. Closing his eyes, he dozes off for 15 minutes, wakes, and walks toward the
center of the oasis. The first person he spots this time he again recognizes as a Bedouin. What
is the posterior probability that he is in El Kamin?
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03 Mar 2021, 02:58
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Discussed here: the-oasis-output-of-abu-ilan-in-the-heart-of-the-negev-desert-has-a-347144.html Hope it helps.
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