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The next statue to be recovered from the site will be a statue of the female figure sculpted by the women of the time

why this can't be a possible fact? It also helps the case that statue will be of female.
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Hi gullyboy09,

Good instinct to check whether option 1 helps the "female figure" idea, but let's look at what the Possible Fact column actually has to do.

Remember the two roles in this question:

- Assumption = option 6: the next statue will likely be a sandstone female figure. This is the belief the argument silently needs.
- Possible Fact = a real piece of evidence that makes that assumption more believable.

So the Possible Fact has to be independent support for the assumption - not just another prediction that sounds similar.

Why option 1 fails this test:

1.It's the same kind of claim as the assumption, only bolder. Option 1 is itself a guess about the future ("the next statue will be a female figure sculpted by the women"). You can't support a prediction by simply asserting an even more specific prediction - that's circular. A supporting fact should be something already known (a past/present fact), like "everything else we've dug up here was sandstone."

2.It never touches the real gap - material. As Edskore pointed out, the whole classification only works if the next find is sandstone. Option 1 says nothing about sandstone; it jumps straight to one specific category ("sculpted by women"). So it doesn't back up the part of the assumption that's actually at risk.

That's exactly why option 3 wins the Possible Fact column: "All other artifacts recovered were sandstone statues" is a genuine, already-observed fact, and it makes "the next one will also be sandstone" a safe bet.

Quick way to feel the difference: if I predict "tomorrow will be sunny" (assumption), a supporting fact is "the last 10 days were all sunny" - not "tomorrow will be sunny and warm." That second one is just a bigger version of my guess, which is what option 1 does here.

Answer: Column 1 (Assumption) = The next statue to be recovered from the site will likely be a statue of the female figure made of sandstone.; Column 2 (Possible Fact) = All other artifacts recovered from the archaeological site were statues made from sandstone.

gullyboy09
The next statue to be recovered from the site will be a statue of the female figure sculpted by the women of the time

why this can't be a possible fact? It also helps the case that statue will be of female.
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egmat please stop replying to my posts. I see you posted such big replies in a span of two minutes, which means its clearly AI generated, and that's not an issue, issue is it means it is not reviewed also. Stop wasting time of students who will go through your vague and so unnecessarily detailed explanations.
egmat
Hi gullyboy09,

Good instinct to check whether option 1 helps the "female figure" idea, but let's look at what the Possible Fact column actually has to do.

Remember the two roles in this question:

- Assumption = option 6: the next statue will likely be a sandstone female figure. This is the belief the argument silently needs.
- Possible Fact = a real piece of evidence that makes that assumption more believable.

So the Possible Fact has to be independent support for the assumption - not just another prediction that sounds similar.

Why option 1 fails this test:

1.It's the same kind of claim as the assumption, only bolder. Option 1 is itself a guess about the future ("the next statue will be a female figure sculpted by the women"). You can't support a prediction by simply asserting an even more specific prediction - that's circular. A supporting fact should be something already known (a past/present fact), like "everything else we've dug up here was sandstone."

2.It never touches the real gap - material. As Edskore pointed out, the whole classification only works if the next find is sandstone. Option 1 says nothing about sandstone; it jumps straight to one specific category ("sculpted by women"). So it doesn't back up the part of the assumption that's actually at risk.

That's exactly why option 3 wins the Possible Fact column: "All other artifacts recovered were sandstone statues" is a genuine, already-observed fact, and it makes "the next one will also be sandstone" a safe bet.

Quick way to feel the difference: if I predict "tomorrow will be sunny" (assumption), a supporting fact is "the last 10 days were all sunny" - not "tomorrow will be sunny and warm." That second one is just a bigger version of my guess, which is what option 1 does here.

Answer: Column 1 (Assumption) = The next statue to be recovered from the site will likely be a statue of the female figure made of sandstone.; Column 2 (Possible Fact) = All other artifacts recovered from the archaeological site were statues made from sandstone.


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