jjoeteller
Elena1985
Given that the AdCom only released 10% of the estimated number of interview invitations...
Elena, 10%? That's ridiculously low. 9 gmatclubbers got invited, so that means 90 gmatclubbers out of 130 would be the total invited applicants in R1, for a whopping 70% or all gmatclubbers, which would be too high even for this obsessive and high-achieving community.
I figure it's more like 25% at least

I don't know why you guys see things in such dark colors. OK, so I recalled my GMAT approach and decided to do some calculus

1) There are 105 people in the gmatclub who reported an intention to apply to Wharton R1 (I counted). Suppose 5 didn't apply so we'll reduce this number to 100.
2) Now we have 9 people invited out of 100 people who actually applied. So that would actually be 9%. But we know that Wharton interviews only 50%. so that means about 18% out of 50 people - the number is obviously closer to 25%(your estimate) then it is to 10% (my estimate)
HOWEVER
3) there is an element you're missing. The paradox is that you mentioned that element yourself (in the above quote). Gmatclub is an "obsessive and high-achieving community". That means it would be normal to expect to have more invited people in this particular sample. To make it more clear here is an example: out of 100 TOP applicants you'll invite a higher percentage of people for an interview, then out of 1000 AVERAGE applicants.
Basically what I'm trying to say is that the sample of people we have on this forum is not representative of the "population of applicants" in general. That's why I adjusted the percentage by additional 8% and have an approximate of 10%.
However, the percentages don't matter all that much in the end. If you get an invitation it will affect the overall statistics by less then 1%. But that's all you need... I intend to be optimistic until there is undeniable evidence that I'm not invited.
Good luck everyone!