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young_gun
Rich has 3 green, 2 red and 3 blue balls in a bag. He randomly picks 5 from the bag WITH replacement. What is the probability that of the 5 drawn balls, Rich has picked 1 red, 2 green, and 2 blue balls?


GGBBR prob = 3/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*2/8=3^4*2/8^5
GGBBR can have 3C2*3C2*2C1 combination = 3*3*2=18

Total prob = 18*3^4*2/8^5
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Here is my solution

Total no of way 5 ball can be selected from 8 = 8C5 = 56

now 1 out of 2 red balls can be selected in 2 way

2 out of 3 green ball can be selected in 3 ways

and 2 out of 3 blue ball can be selected in 3 ways

so total number of ways = 2*3*3 = 18

so the probability = 18 / 56 = 9/28

Am I right ?
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sportyrizwan
young_gun
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Here is my solution

Total no of way 5 ball can be selected from 8 = 8C5 = 56

now 1 out of 2 red balls can be selected in 2 way

2 out of 3 green ball can be selected in 3 ways

and 2 out of 3 blue ball can be selected in 3 ways

so total number of ways = 2*3*3 = 18

so the probability = 18 / 56 = 9/28

Am I right ?


No, that's without replacement.

ooh sorry...

in that case damager is right

i think damager is absolutely right. we have replacements, so the total number of combinations is 8^5 (n*n*n*n*n) and not 8c5...what's OA?
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N=(2/8)*(3/8)^2*(3/8)^2*5P5/(2P2*2P2)=2*3^4*5!/(8^5*2*2)=20*3^5/8^5

Damager
GGBBR can have 3C2*3C2*2C1 combination = 3*3*2=18
I think combination=5C2*3C2*1C1=5!/(3!*2!)*3!/(2!)*1=5!/2!^2
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walker
N=(2/8)*(3/8)^2*(3/8)^2*5P5/(2P2*2P2)=2*3^4*5!/(8^5*2*2)=20*3^5/8^5

Damager
GGBBR can have 3C2*3C2*2C1 combination = 3*3*2=18
I think combination=5C2*3C2*1C1=5!/(3!*2!)*3!/(2!)*1=5!/2!^2


your reasoning sounds better...what's OA?
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young_gun
Rich has 3 green, 2 red and 3 blue balls in a bag. He randomly picks 5 from the bag WITH replacement. What is the probability that of the 5 drawn balls, Rich has picked 1 red, 2 green, and 2 blue balls?


2r 3g 3b

a total of 8 balls.

2/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*3/8 *5!/2!*2! (we have 5!/2!2! b/c we have 2 green picks and 2 blue picks and 1 red pick but we don't need to worry about that one--> 5*4*3*2/2*2=30) --> 30(2*3^4/8^5) 81*2*30 -->
162*30= 4860/32768 -->~14%

This was a beast, took me about 6minutes.
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For me the probability is:

P=[5!/(2!·2!)]*[(3/8)^2]*[(3/8)^2]*[(2/8)^1]=2430/16384=0.15

What is the OA?
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probably repeating others:

(5!/2!*2!)*(2/8)*(3/8)^2*(3/8)^2=5*(3^5)/(2^13)
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sportyrizwan
Here is my solution

Total no of way 5 ball can be selected from 8 = 8C5 = 56

now 1 out of 2 red balls can be selected in 2 way

2 out of 3 green ball can be selected in 3 ways

and 2 out of 3 blue ball can be selected in 3 ways

so total number of ways = 2*3*3 = 18

so the probability = 18 / 56 = 9/28

Am I right ?

No, that's without replacement.


I think the answer should be 9/28. Permutation assumes replacement. Without replacement would get really tricky.
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Rich has 3 green, 2 red and 3 blue balls in a bag. He randomly picks 5 from the bag WITH replacement. What is the probability that of the 5 drawn balls, Rich has picked 1 red, 2 green, and 2 blue balls?


Soln:
= (2/8) * (3/8)^2 * (3/8)^2 *5!/(2! * 2!)
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automan
For me the probability is:

P=[5!/(2!·2!)]*[(3/8)^2]*[(3/8)^2]*[(2/8)^1]=2430/16384=0.15

What is the OA?


P=2/8*(3/8*2/8)*(3/8*2/8)
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The probability in this case would be as follow:

1/5+2/5+2/5 = 5/5 = 1
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Bunuel
Let's clear out this one:

CASE I.
Rich has 3 green, 2 red and 3 blue balls in a bag. He randomly picks 5 from the bag WITH replacement. What is the probability that of the 5 drawn balls, Rich has picked 1 red, 2 green, and 2 blue balls?

The probability would be: 2/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*5!/2!2!=14.8%

Why do you have 5!/2!2!? Does order matter? No...
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Thank you all, guys!
Understood it completely!

GMAT TIGER, order does not matter.
Because we have the following combination:

GGBBR

if we mark numbers G1G2B1B2R and rearrange them to have G2G1B2B1R, we will still have the same combination.
thus we eliminate repeats when we divide 5! (GGBBR) by 2! (BB) and 2! (GG)
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I think the ans is (3/8)^2*2/8*8!/(3!*3!*2!)
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GMAT TIGER
Bunuel
Let's clear out this one:

CASE I.
Rich has 3 green, 2 red and 3 blue balls in a bag. He randomly picks 5 from the bag WITH replacement. What is the probability that of the 5 drawn balls, Rich has picked 1 red, 2 green, and 2 blue balls?

The probability would be: 2/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*5!/2!2!=14.8%

Why do you have 5!/2!2!? Does order matter? No...

Its getting confusing. I though the order here is not important and thus the answer should be 2/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*3/8

Can someone please tell me the difference between (if there is any) the following with replacement:

1. What is the probability that of the 5 drawn balls, Rich has picked 1 red, 2 green, and 2 blue balls?

2. In how many ways rich can draw five balls so that he has picked 1 red, 2 green, and 2 blue balls?
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Bunuel
Let's clear out this one:

CASE I.
Rich has 3 green, 2 red and 3 blue balls in a bag. He randomly picks 5 from the bag WITH replacement. What is the probability that of the 5 drawn balls, Rich has picked 1 red, 2 green, and 2 blue balls?

The probability would be: 2/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*3/8*5!/2!2!=14.8%

CASE II.
If the problem was WITHOUT replacement:

Then the probability would be: 2/8*3/7*2/6*3/5*2/4*5!/2!*2!=9/28=32.14%
OR different way of counting: 2C1*3C2*3C2/ 8C5=9/28


The only difference we have that in FIRST case we are always drawing from 8 balls and the initial number of balls in bag remains the same, as we are putting withdrawn balls back (we have replacement).

In the SECOND case after each withdrawal we are reducing total number of balls by 1 AND reducing the withdrawn balls number by 1.

We are then multiplying this, in BOTH CASES, by 5!/2!2!, because we want to calculate number of ways this combination is possible (1 red, 2 green, 2 blue), total combination of 5 balls is 5!, BUT as among these 5 balls we have 2 green and 2 red, we should divide 5! by 2!2! to get rid of repeated combinations.

The second way of calculating "WITHOUT replacement case" just counts the number of combinations of picking desired number of each ball from its total number (1 red out of two, 2 green out of three, and 2 blue out of three), multiplies them and divides this by the number of ways we can pick total of 5 balls out of 8.

Hope now it's clear.

Does the order matter in this question??? I dont think so.. as the question says... wat is the probability of getting 1 red, 2 green and 2 blue... and says nothing of the arrangement. Please comment.
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