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A searchlight on top of the watch-tower makes 3 revolutions [#permalink]

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17 Feb 2008, 05:34

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A searchlight on top of the watch-tower makes 3 revolutions per minute. What is the probability that a man appearing near the tower will stay in the dark for at least 5 seconds?

A searchlight on top of the watch-tower makes 3 revolutions per minute. What is the probability that a man appearing near the tower will stay in the dark for at least 5 seconds?

1/4 1/3 1/2 2/3 3/4

Here is my attempt to solve this one:

3 revolutions per minute = 1 revolution every 20 seconds

So no matter what anybody appearing at the tower cannot stay in the dark for more than 20 seconds. This will be our total number of possibilities i.e the denominator.

P(man in dark for at least 5 seconds) = 1 - P (man in dark for max of 5 seconds) = 1 - 5/20 = 1 - 1/4 = 3/4

or the other way would be: P(man in dark for at least 5 seconds) is like saying he can be in dark for 5,6,7...all the way to 20 seconds because that is the max. In this approach it would be 15/20 seconds = 3/4.

Its kind of a weird approach to solve the problem but I could not think of anything better in the 2mins....
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1 min=3*360 1 s=18 degree 5 s=90 degree so probability =1-(90/360)=75%

bigfernhead wrote:

A searchlight on top of the watch-tower makes 3 revolutions per minute. What is the probability that a man appearing near the tower will stay in the dark for at least 5 seconds?

A searchlight on top of the watch-tower makes 3 revolutions per minute. What is the probability that a man appearing near the tower will stay in the dark for at least 5 seconds?

intuitively this answer seems off, but we can do sanity check by thinking that the lower bound for p(atleast 5 s) is 5/20 = 1/4, additional cases will only increase this value.

my answer is also 3/4. probabilty to stay in light = 5/20 (3 rev per minutes means 20 sec required for 1 rev). so, probability to stay in dark is 1-5/20. i.e 3/4.

my answer is also 3/4. probabilty to stay in light = 5/20 (3 rev per minutes means 20 sec required for 1 rev). so, probability to stay in dark is 1-5/20. i.e 3/4.

I am not sure if I follow your logic..

* Question does not ask probability to stay in dark, it asks prob of staying in dark for atleast 5 seconds

A searchlight makes 1 revolution in 20 seconds. Consider the diagram below:

Attachment:

Circle1.gif [ 2.42 KiB | Viewed 3220 times ]

A man randomly appears at some point M. Now, if beam of light is somewhere in the dark quarter, then the beam will need less than 5 seconds to reach a man and if beam of light is somewhere in the white 3 quarters then it'll need more than 5 seconds to reach a man (so he'll be in the dark more than 5 seconds).

My doubts - We are not told how much area is in light by light house. We are assuming a quadrant is in light. If light house lights which circles at one revolution per 20 secs only lights an area of narrow beam (30 degree), will the probability be same?
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My doubts - We are not told how much area is in light by light house. We are assuming a quadrant is in light. If light house lights which circles at one revolution per 20 secs only lights an area of narrow beam (30 degree), will the probability be same?

We are not assuming that a quadrant is in light. We are assuming that lighted sector has 0 degrees. Anyways not a GMAT question so don't worry about it.
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A searchlight on top of the watch-tower makes 3 revolutions per minute. What is the probability that a man appearing near the tower will stay in the dark for at least 5 seconds?

I also could not do it in the first go. But here's what I figured out after some thought.

Consider someone standing within the imaginary circle lit by the search-light as it revolves.

What is the probability that the man will stay in dark for 20 seconds (3 revs/min)? zero or (1 - (20/20)) i.e. (1 - P(coming under focus)) What is the probability that the man will stay in dark for 19 seconds? (1 - (19/20)) What is the probability that the man will stay in dark for 18 seconds? (1 - (18/20)) . . What is the probability that the man will stay in dark for 5 seconds? (1 - (5/20)) i.e. 3/4

but somehow I am not able to fit in the 'at-least' part. For 'at least' cases, we add the probabilities of all the possible elements (OR). In this case, that would amount to summing up the probabilities of 5 sec, 4 sec, 3 sec, 2 sec and 1 sec.

But I guess the problem is with the discrete approach that I, and many others above have taken. Shouldn't we approach the problem like the summation of velocity-time graph to find the total distance that we used to do in physics? That is finding the area under the graph..

To be edited, if the bulb in my mind glows, discerning an elegant solution..

Don't know the OA, but... 3 revs in 60 sec -> 1 rev in 20 sec. 5 seconds is one fourth of 20 seconds. 1 revolution is 360 degrees (just to remind: in 20 seconds). We need one forth, means 360/90=4. So 1/4 will be an answer. (A) What's the OA?

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