GMATGuruNY
Bunuel
A watch manufacturer has two factories (FA, FB) and 60% of their watches are made at FA. It is known that 10% of them are made at FA and 15% made at FB are defective. What is the probability that a selected defective watch was manufactured at FB?
A. 0.05
B. 0.06
C. 0.066
D. 0.11
E. 0.5
Let the total number of watches = 100, implying that the number made at FA = 60% of 100 = 60 and that the number made at FB = 100-60 = 40.
Total number of defective watches = (10% of the 60 FA watches) + (15% of the 40 FB watches) = 6 + 6 = 12.
Since 1/2 of the defective watches are made at FB, the probability that a selected defective watch is made at FB = 0.5.
Thanks
GMATGuruNYBut here is a question, why do not we make as follows:
Probability to pick a defective part of FA = 6/60
Probability to pick a defective part of FB = 6/40
Probability to pick a good part of FA = 54/60
Probability to pick a defective part of FB = 6/40
probability to select defective watch = (Probability to pick a defective part of FA)*(Probability to pick a defective part of FB)+(Probability to pick a good part of FA) * (Probability to pick a defective part of FB)
(6/60)(6/40) + (54/60)(6/40) = 6/40 =0.15
Where did I go wrong??
Thanks in advance