Thanks a lot Marty! This was helpful.
Not really. A conclusion is an opinion supported by facts.
It's true that a conclusion could turn out to be a true fact, but in an argument, something stated as fact is not the conclusion.
In this case specifically, the information about horn mass and body length is stated as fact, not as an opinion supported by other facts.
Explaining why something has occurred is not the same as confirming that it has in fact occurred.
In this specific case, the second sentence uses the wording "the cause is probably" to imply that the preceding information about bighorn sheep size is true, as in "the cause [of this observed phenomenon] is probably."
So, the point of the second sentence is to state an opinion about why something believed to have occurred has occurred. It's not to provide evidence confirming that the phenomenon has occurred.
Here's a parallel example:
The cookies are gone from the picnic table. It's likely that a squirrel took them.The opinion that the cookies were taken by a squirrel doesn't provide evidence that the cookies are gone. Rather, it assumes that that they are gone is a fact and provides a possible way they became gone.