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E
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Difficulty:
35%
(medium)
Question Stats:
70% (01:53) correct
30%
(02:12)
wrong
based on 312
sessions
History
Date
Time
Result
Not Attempted Yet
Candidate: I am worried about the effects that the recent media coverage of my personal life will have on my chances of gaining office. Even though the reports are untrue, some voters interviewed on television, in response to these reports, have already expressed doubts regarding my ability to lead.
Campaign manager: Your concern is unfounded. Of 1,000 people in this city randomly surveyed by e-mail, only 25 have responded that their perception of your ability to lead has been negatively impacted by the recent media coverage.
The campaign manager's argument is most vulnerable to criticism on the ground that it fails to acknowledge the possibility that
(A) future media reports that follow up on the story of the candidate's personal life will further damage the public's perception of the candidate's ability to lead
(B) the candidate's main opponent will use the opportunity created by the recent media coverage to conduct her own survey to assess the damage done to her opponent's credibility
(C) the voting public would understand that its reaction to the recent media coverage of the candidate's personal life was the intended primary focus of the survey
(D) opinions expressed in television interviews are not always the most reliable indicator of how interviewees are likely to act in given situations
(E) many of those surveyed who are skeptical of the candidate's ability to lead due to the recent reports did not respond to the survey
Campaign manager: Your concern is unfounded. Of 1,000 people in this city randomly surveyed by e-mail, only 25 have responded that their perception of your ability to lead has been negatively impacted by the recent media coverage.
The campaign manager's argument is most vulnerable to criticism on the ground that it fails to acknowledge the possibility that
(A) future media reports that follow up on the story of the candidate's personal life will further damage the public's perception of the candidate's ability to lead
(B) the candidate's main opponent will use the opportunity created by the recent media coverage to conduct her own survey to assess the damage done to her opponent's credibility
(C) the voting public would understand that its reaction to the recent media coverage of the candidate's personal life was the intended primary focus of the survey
(D) opinions expressed in television interviews are not always the most reliable indicator of how interviewees are likely to act in given situations
(E) many of those surveyed who are skeptical of the candidate's ability to lead due to the recent reports did not respond to the survey
17 Jun 2025, 01:35
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Argument - Candidate is worried that some voters interviewed on the television are sharing negative feedback. Campaign managers dismisses on the ground that in the recent survey conducted over email, only 25 out of 1000 respondents had doubts, so there's nothing to worry about.
The campaign manager's argument is most vulnerable to criticism on the ground that it fails to acknowledge the possibility that
Weaken campaign manager's argument -
Pre-thinking - The two survey groups are not only different but also reached through different mediums. What if the group surveyed via email is inherently biased, perhaps they are supporters who would always favor the candidate? And what if these 25 individuals happen to be influential enough to sway broader public opinion, meaning their views could carry more weight than those of an average respondent? Moreover, if the email recipients were aware that the survey came from the candidate’s political campaign, they might have deliberately misrepresented their opinions, making the overall impact far more significant than it appears on the surface.
(A) future media reports that follow up on the story of the candidate's personal life will further damage the public's perception of the candidate's ability to lead - Possible, but this is at best a speculation. And we are more concerned about the current impact rather than what might or might not happen in future.
(B) the candidate's main opponent will use the opportunity created by the recent media coverage to conduct her own survey to assess the damage done to her opponent's credibility - So what? If the campaign manager is quite confident in his survey results then the opponent's team might also get similar results in their survey, so there's nothing for candidate to worry about.
(C) the voting public would understand that its reaction to the recent media coverage of the candidate's personal life was the intended primary focus of the survey - Good, if they understand then this supports campaign manager's ideology.
(D) opinions expressed in television interviews are not always the most reliable indicator of how interviewees are likely to act in given situations - Again, this weakens candidate's argument and in a way, might support campaign manager's line of thoughts that the people sharing opinions on television wouldn't be a reliable source of information.
(E) many of those surveyed who are skeptical of the candidate's ability to lead due to the recent reports did not respond to the survey - Ahh! This picks on one of the pre-thinking ideas that what if the campaign manager's thoughts are misplaced on a result which was biased, then this could have serious implications for the candidate. The campaign manager is assuming that the respondents represent the full sample, which may not be true.
IMO: E
The campaign manager's argument is most vulnerable to criticism on the ground that it fails to acknowledge the possibility that
Weaken campaign manager's argument -
Pre-thinking - The two survey groups are not only different but also reached through different mediums. What if the group surveyed via email is inherently biased, perhaps they are supporters who would always favor the candidate? And what if these 25 individuals happen to be influential enough to sway broader public opinion, meaning their views could carry more weight than those of an average respondent? Moreover, if the email recipients were aware that the survey came from the candidate’s political campaign, they might have deliberately misrepresented their opinions, making the overall impact far more significant than it appears on the surface.
(A) future media reports that follow up on the story of the candidate's personal life will further damage the public's perception of the candidate's ability to lead - Possible, but this is at best a speculation. And we are more concerned about the current impact rather than what might or might not happen in future.
(B) the candidate's main opponent will use the opportunity created by the recent media coverage to conduct her own survey to assess the damage done to her opponent's credibility - So what? If the campaign manager is quite confident in his survey results then the opponent's team might also get similar results in their survey, so there's nothing for candidate to worry about.
(C) the voting public would understand that its reaction to the recent media coverage of the candidate's personal life was the intended primary focus of the survey - Good, if they understand then this supports campaign manager's ideology.
(D) opinions expressed in television interviews are not always the most reliable indicator of how interviewees are likely to act in given situations - Again, this weakens candidate's argument and in a way, might support campaign manager's line of thoughts that the people sharing opinions on television wouldn't be a reliable source of information.
(E) many of those surveyed who are skeptical of the candidate's ability to lead due to the recent reports did not respond to the survey - Ahh! This picks on one of the pre-thinking ideas that what if the campaign manager's thoughts are misplaced on a result which was biased, then this could have serious implications for the candidate. The campaign manager is assuming that the respondents represent the full sample, which may not be true.
IMO: E
