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Learn what truly sets the UC Riverside MBA apart and how it helps in your professional growth
31 Oct 2016, 09:41
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Topic:
The following appeared in the editorial section of a local newspaper:
“In the first four years that Montoya has served as mayor of the city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and the unemployment rate has increased. Two businesses have closed for each new business that has opened. Under Varro, who served as mayor for four years before Montoya, the unemployment rate decreased and the population increased. Clearly, the residents of San Perdito would be best served if they voted Montoya out of office and re-elected Varro.”
My answer:
The editorial section of a local newspaper concludes, that the residents of San Perdito would be better served if they re-elected Varro and voted Montoya out of office. The author presents several premises to support this conclusion. The first is that during the period in which Montoya has served the city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and the unemployment rate has increased. The second is that the number of business closed during the time Montoya has served the city was twice the number of those opened. The final premise is that under Varro, the previous mayor of the city, the unemployment rate decreased and the population increased. However, the author’s conclusion does not follow logically from the offered premises due to several questionable assumptions underlying the argument.
The first assumption crucial for the argument is that Varro is a better candidate for city mayor position than Montoya, because during the time he served the city the statistics of unemployment rate and population growth tendency were better than those during the time Montoya served the city. One important flaw of this assumption is that other important factors not including elected politics are not considered in the argument. Such factors as immigration rate or global financial crisis may have influenced the unemployment rate and the number of people living in San Perdito. If the author could have given more data about what factors may influence the unemployment rate and the population, the argument would be strengthened.
The second assumption important for the argument is that Montoya is a worse candidate as the number of businesses closed during the time he has served the city was twice the number of businesses opened. One important flaw of this assumption is that the economic profit from the opened businesses is not considered in the argument. It might be so, that although the number of businesses opened is less than the number of those closed, the new enterprises may bring more profit to the country and therefore it might be a positive factor. If the author could demonstrate more information about the difference in profitability between closed and opened businesses, the argument would be strengthened.
As the argument includes several questionable assumptions, the conclusion does not logically follow from the premises. The author makes unwarranted assumptions about the importance of such factors as unemployment rate, number of citizens and ratio of closed businesses to opened, when choosing which mayor to elect. In order to make the argument more convincing, the author has to address these flaws.
The following appeared in the editorial section of a local newspaper:
“In the first four years that Montoya has served as mayor of the city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and the unemployment rate has increased. Two businesses have closed for each new business that has opened. Under Varro, who served as mayor for four years before Montoya, the unemployment rate decreased and the population increased. Clearly, the residents of San Perdito would be best served if they voted Montoya out of office and re-elected Varro.”
My answer:
The editorial section of a local newspaper concludes, that the residents of San Perdito would be better served if they re-elected Varro and voted Montoya out of office. The author presents several premises to support this conclusion. The first is that during the period in which Montoya has served the city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and the unemployment rate has increased. The second is that the number of business closed during the time Montoya has served the city was twice the number of those opened. The final premise is that under Varro, the previous mayor of the city, the unemployment rate decreased and the population increased. However, the author’s conclusion does not follow logically from the offered premises due to several questionable assumptions underlying the argument.
The first assumption crucial for the argument is that Varro is a better candidate for city mayor position than Montoya, because during the time he served the city the statistics of unemployment rate and population growth tendency were better than those during the time Montoya served the city. One important flaw of this assumption is that other important factors not including elected politics are not considered in the argument. Such factors as immigration rate or global financial crisis may have influenced the unemployment rate and the number of people living in San Perdito. If the author could have given more data about what factors may influence the unemployment rate and the population, the argument would be strengthened.
The second assumption important for the argument is that Montoya is a worse candidate as the number of businesses closed during the time he has served the city was twice the number of businesses opened. One important flaw of this assumption is that the economic profit from the opened businesses is not considered in the argument. It might be so, that although the number of businesses opened is less than the number of those closed, the new enterprises may bring more profit to the country and therefore it might be a positive factor. If the author could demonstrate more information about the difference in profitability between closed and opened businesses, the argument would be strengthened.
As the argument includes several questionable assumptions, the conclusion does not logically follow from the premises. The author makes unwarranted assumptions about the importance of such factors as unemployment rate, number of citizens and ratio of closed businesses to opened, when choosing which mayor to elect. In order to make the argument more convincing, the author has to address these flaws.
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