All right. Since there is no dialogue whatsoever on this question as of day five, I will get the ball rolling.
Quote:
Crowding on Mooreville’s subway frequently leads to delays, because it is difficult for passengers to exit from the trains. Over the next ten years, the Mooreville Transit Authority projects that subway ridership will increase by 20 percent. The authority plans to increase the number of daily train trips by only 5 percent over the same period. Officials predict that this increase is sufficient to ensure that the incidence of delays due to crowding does not increase.
Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest grounds for the officials’ prediction?
Note that if we are aiming to strengthen
the officials' prediction, we need to understand exactly what that prediction entails. That prediction is as follows:
[An increase in the number of daily train trips by 5 percent over the next ten years] is sufficient to ensure that the incidence of delays due to crowding [on Mooreville's subway] does not increase.
Why would this be so, given that
ridership will increase by 20 percent? This presents a paradox, and a paradox can be solved by fitting in some missing piece of the puzzle. Which answer choice will supply that logically sound missing piece?
Quote:
(A) The population of Mooreville is not expected to increase significantly in the next ten years.
Whether the
population of the city at large is
expected to increase is beside the point. The fact remains that ridership is expected to increase 20 percent (even if the population of the city remains the same). This information does not supply the reasonable explanation that we seek to reconcile two conflicting pieces of information and strengthen the prediction.
Quote:
(B) The Transit Authority also plans a 5 percent increase in the number of bus trips on routes that connect to subways.
Bus trips do not address the core problem of
crowding on Mooreville's subway... because it is difficult for passengers to exit from the trains. Buses are nothing more than a distraction here. People might get to the subway faster, but what about when they need to get off?
Quote:
(C) The Transit Authority projects that the number of Mooreville residents who commute to work by automobile will increase in the next ten years.
Again, this new information could be true, but it does not change the prediction that
ridership [on the subway] will increase by 20 percent. Keep your eye on the prize to avoid chasing associations such as this one.
Quote:
(D) Most of the projected increase in ridership is expected to occur in off-peak hours when trains now are sparsely used.
If
most of the increase affects
off-peak hours, when fewer riders overall would be using the subway, then perhaps this 5 percent increase in
the number of daily train trips could alleviate crowding during
peak hours. The paradox is resolved, and the officials' prediction makes a lot more sense.
Quote:
(E) The 5 percent increase in the number of train trips can be achieved without an equal increase in Transit Authority operational costs.
Sure, a transit authority needs to consider its operational budget, but such
costs have nothing to do with linking the conflicting pieces of information from the passage: a 20 percent increase in ridership, yet just a 5 percent increase in daily train trips to address and maybe fix a problem.
In the end, only answer choice (D) holds up as a strengthener. This may be an old question, and it may be on the easier side, but it has good bones, as it were, a solid structure on which to build a firm foundational understanding of the CR task.
Good luck with your studies.
- Andrew