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Solution


Given:
    • Each day after an item is lost the probability of finding that item is halved

To find:
    • If 3 days after a certain item is lost the probability of finding it has dropped to \(\frac{1}{64}\), what was the initial probability of finding the item

Approach and Working Out:
Let the initial probability of finding the item be x
    • After 1 day, it becomes \(\frac{x}{2}\)
    • After 2 days, it will be \(\frac{x}{4}\)
    • After 3 days it is \(\frac{x}{8}\)

Thus, \(\frac{x}{8} = \frac{1}{64}\)

Therefore, x = \(\frac{8}{64} = \frac{1}{8}\)

Hence, the correct answer is Option B.

Answer: B
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Bunuel
Each day after an item is lost the probability of finding that item is halved. If 3 days after a certain item is lost the probability of finding it has dropped to 1/64, what was the initial probability of finding the item?

A. 1/32
B. 1/8
C. 1/4
D. 1/2
E. 1

Since each day after an item is lost the probability of finding that item is halved, then given the probability of that item could be found on a certain day, the probability of finding that item on the prior day must be doubled. Therefore, the initial probability that the item could be found three days prior was 1/64* 2^3 = 8/64 = 1/8.

Alternate Solution:

If p is the initial probability of finding the item, we have p * (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) = 1/64; i.e. p/8 = 1/64. Multiplying each side by 8, we find that p = 1/8.

Answer: B
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