Bunuel
In the United States, people who contract pneumonia are ill for six weeks on average. However, those who live in Nevada are ill from pneumonia for an average four weeks, while those from New York are ill for an average seven weeks. If a newlywed couple from New York were to have a family in Nevada, their children would be ill from pneumonia for less time than if they lived in New York.
Which of the following statements, if true, would most seriously weaken the argument presented above?
A Insurance companies do not believe that moving to Nevada will lessen the time that a New Yorker has pneumonia.
B Twenty percent of New Yorkers who contract pneumonia are ill for four weeks.
C The mayor of New York City believes the pneumonia statistics are flawed.
D The shorter duration of pneumonia for Nevada's current population is attributed mostly to genetically-determined factors.
E Nevada has flu levels that are well below the national average.
OFFICIAL EXPLANATION
This is a weaken the argument question.
Identify the argument. We can find the argument in the last line of this example. If a newlywed couple from New York were to have a family in Nevada, their children would be ill from pneumonia for less time than if they lived in New York.
Anticipate the answer, if possible. We will need to find an answer that will show New Yorkers who move to Nevada will not necessarily be ill from pneumonia for less time than if they had remained in New York.
Eliminate the answer choices that do not weaken the argument. Which of these choices will show that New Yorkers who move to Nevada will not necessarily be ill from pneumonia for less time than if they had remained in New York? B, C and E have nothing to do with pneumonia in Nevada. Choice A simply states what insurance companies believe, but does not disprove the argument.
Only choice D weakens the argument by stating that genetically-determined factors found in Nevadans, but not New Yorkers, result in the shorter duration of pneumonia.