India plays two matches each with West Indies and Australia. In any match the probabilities of India getting points 0, 1 and 2 are 0.45, 0.05 and 0.5 respectively. Assuming that the outcomes are independent, the probability of India getting at least 7 points is
A. 0.0625
B. 0.06875
C. 0.0825
D. 0.0875
E. 0.875
AND or BOTH = you have to multiply the events
OR = you have to add the events
Total events = 4, since India play 2 matches each with WI & Australia.
At least 7 Points ,i.e = score >=7
So following options should be considered -
a)2+2+2+2 = 8 [Probability =
(0.5)^4]
b)2+2+2+1 = 7 [Probability = (0.5)^3 X 0.05]
c)2+2+1+2 = 7 [Probability = same as 'b']
d)2+1+2+2 = 7 [Probability = same as 'b']
e)1+2+2+2 = 7 [Probability = same as 'b'].....or (b-e) =
4C1 X (0.5)^3 X 0.05Now as a whole, the probability shall be [Probability = [(0.5)^4 + {4C1 X (0.5)^3 X 0.05 }] =
0.0875 (Answer D)