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total = N people. (N>4)
we need to select 3 people.

the way to select 3 people from N is pretty straightforward.
Its NC3 = N(N-1)(N-2)(N-3)! / (N-3)! * 6
we get, NC3 = N(N-1)(N-2)/6
this is our denominator.

now we need to find probability that joe is selected in those 3 people.
so once joe is selected, we have 2 people left to choose from N-1 people.
for that to find, we will simple use (N-1)C2
we get, (N-1)(N-2)(N-3)! / (N-3)*2
(N-1)C2 = (N-1)(N-2)/2.
this is out numerator.

now when we use both these values, we get= [(N-1)(N-2)/2] * [ 6/N(N-1)(N-2)]
upon solving this, we get 3/N

ans is C
BrentGMATPrepNow
Joe is in a group consisting of N people (N > 4). If 3 people from the group are randomly selected to be on a committee, what is the probability that Joe is selected?

A) \(\frac{N^2-2N-6}{(N-2)^2+6}\)

B) \(\frac{2N+3}{N^2-N}\)

C) \(\frac{3}{N}\)

D) \(\frac{N}{(N-1)(N-2)}\)

E) \(\frac{N^2-1}{5N}\)
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Many people using numbers to solve however this one can simply be done by using N as well.

(N-1)C2/NC3 is our required result
= (N-1)(N-2) * 3! / (2! * N(N-1)(N-2))
= 3/N

Answer: Option C

________________________

PS:- Problem would be pushed into the hard level if an option like "3/(N-2)" existed.
Such an answer would stem from going for NC2/NC3 but Joe is himself part of the group so it gives a wrong result. A very common mistake!
BrentGMATPrepNow
Joe is in a group consisting of N people (N > 4). If 3 people from the group are randomly selected to be on a committee, what is the probability that Joe is selected?

A) \(\frac{N^2-2N-6}{(N-2)^2+6}\)

B) \(\frac{2N+3}{N^2-N}\)

C) \(\frac{3}{N}\)

D) \(\frac{N}{(N-1)(N-2)}\)

E) \(\frac{N^2-1}{5N}\)
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KarishmaB / Bunuel
Is this approach right?
the probability that the joe should be in the group is that, he should be among the first 3 people selected. So it is 3/N

Thanks,
Swetha
BrentGMATPrepNow
Joe is in a group consisting of N people (N > 4). If 3 people from the group are randomly selected to be on a committee, what is the probability that Joe is selected?

A) \(\frac{N^2-2N-6}{(N-2)^2+6}\)

B) \(\frac{2N+3}{N^2-N}\)

C) \(\frac{3}{N}\)

D) \(\frac{N}{(N-1)(N-2)}\)

E) \(\frac{N^2-1}{5N}\)
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SwethaReddyL
KarishmaB / Bunuel
Is this approach right?
the probability that the joe should be in the group is that, he should be among the first 3 people selected. So it is 3/N

Thanks,
Swetha

Yes, that approach is right.

Imagine the selected committee members as the first 3 people in a random ordering of all N people. Joe is equally likely to be in any of the N positions, and 3 of those positions get selected.

So the probability is 3/N.
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SwethaReddyL
KarishmaB / Bunuel
Is this approach right?
the probability that the joe should be in the group is that, he should be among the first 3 people selected. So it is 3/N

Thanks,
Swetha


Yes, the way I like to think about it in this case is:
Say they are standing randomly in a line. Joe can be in any of the N spots. Of those 3 are the favored spots i.e. the selected spots. The probability that he is in one of those 3 spots is simply 3/N.
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Option A also gives the same answer as 3/5 when plugged in. We should try with 6 or solve using N as a variable.
gmatkarma20
Just plug in a number. Choose N=5, for instance.

# of ways you can form a group of 3: 5C3 = 10

# of ways you can form a group with Joe excluded: 4C3 = 4

Prob(Joe is not selected in the group of 3) = 4/10 = 2/5

Prob(Joe is selected) = 1 - 2/5 = 3/5


C jumps out at you when you plug in N=5 in the options.

So, C.
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