Kindly review my AWA!

The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
"On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.


The Argument claims that to reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians in Balmer island during the summer months, the town council should limit the number of mopeds rented from 50 per day to 25 per day. To strengthen its claim, the argument provides evidence of neighboring island Seaville, which attained 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents after enforcing the similar limits on moped rentals. Stated in this way, the argument fails to address several key issues on the basis of which it is evaluated. The conclusion relies on assumptions for which there is no clear evidence. The argument is weak and unconvincing and has several flaws.

Firstly, the argument assumes that similar results can be replicated in Balmer as in Seaville. This assumption is flawed as the argument does not provide any evidence to substantiate it. There could be numerous factors on which the number of accidents involving mopeds depend. For Instance, the population of the two islands may vary significantly as the population figures of Seaville during summer months are not provided. Moreover, the argument does not provide any information about the number of Moped rental companies in Seaville and Balmer. It may be possible that these companies are significantly less in Seaville than in Balmer, making moped a less popular mode of transport in Seaville than in Balmer. Hence, The argument would have been more strong had it provided the exact figures of population and number of rental companies in Balmer and Seaville.

Secondly, the argument assumes that in Seaville, 50 % reduction in moped accidents annually is similar to 50 % reduction in moped accidents during the summer months. This claim is vague and weak as the argument does not demonstrate the correlation between the annual and monthly % reduction. Paradoxically, it may be possible that there was minimal or no % reduction in moped accidents during summer months; thereby, weakening the claim of the argument. Furthermore, the argument does not address the figures of number of moped accidents in both cities before the enforcement of the limit. It may be possible that the number of moped accidents in Seaville is significantly less than in Balmer. Consequently, the argument would have been more comprehensive had it provided the precise detail about the % reduction in moped accidents during summer months in Seaville and the number of yearly moped accidents in both cities earlier than the enforcement.

Because the argument makes many unwarranted assumptions, it is flawed and illogical. If it had included the concerns and remedies discussed above it would have been more comprehensive and compelling.