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yc168
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Shouldn't the E option be worded as ' was due to availablility...' instead of 'was not due to...'
yc168
Official: Six months ago, the fines for parking violations on the city's streets were raised to help pay for the parking garage that had just opened. Since then, parking violations on our streets have dropped by 50 percent. Hence, if we want there to be even fewer parking violations, the fines should be raised again.

The reasoning in the official's argument is flawed in that the argument

(A) takes a possible effect of a reduction to be a possible cause of that reduction

(B) takes for granted that raising fines a second time will reduce parking violations at least as much as it did the first time

(C) fails to take into account the financial benefits the city is now deriving from fines for parking violations

(D) takes for granted that people who park their cars illegally would prefer to park legally

(E) fails to establish that the initial decrease in parking violations was not due to the availability of additional parking spaces
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MistyNova
Shouldn't the E option be worded as ' was due to availablility...' instead of 'was not due to...'

I think, (E) is worded correctly.

The official wants to prove that the decrease was caused by the higher fines. To do that, the argument must rule out the alternative explanation: that the decrease was caused by the new parking garage.

So the flaw is that the argument fails to establish that the decrease was not due to additional parking spaces. In other words, it failed to rule out that alternative cause.
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Doesn't your reasoning for E actually make D correct?
guddo
Official: Six months ago, the fines for parking violations on the city's streets were raised to help pay for the parking garage that had just opened. Since then, parking violations on our streets have dropped by 50 percent. Hence, if we want there to be even fewer parking violations, the fines should be raised again.

The reasoning in the official's argument is flawed in that the argument


The official assumes that the higher fines caused the drop in parking violations. But the fine increase happened at the same time a new parking garage opened. The drop may have occurred because drivers had more legal parking available, not because the fines were higher.

(A) takes a possible effect of a reduction to be a possible cause of that reduction

This is not the flaw. The argument does not confuse cause and effect in that way.

(B) takes for granted that raising fines a second time will reduce parking violations at least as much as it did the first time

This is too specific. The official does not need to assume another 50 percent drop. The bigger problem is that the first drop may not have been caused by the fines at all.

(C) fails to take into account the financial benefits the city is now deriving from fines for parking violations

This is irrelevant. The conclusion is about reducing violations, not maximizing fine revenue.

(D) takes for granted that people who park their cars illegally would prefer to park legally

This is not the main flaw. The issue is not drivers’ preferences, but whether the cause of the decrease was the fine increase or the new parking garage.

(E) fails to establish that the initial decrease in parking violations was not due to the availability of additional parking spaces

This is correct. The new parking garage may have provided more legal parking, causing fewer street violations. If so, raising fines again may not reduce violations further. That alternative explanation weakens the official’s causal claim.

Answer: (E)
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Riyaagoell
Doesn't your reasoning for E actually make D correct?


No, (D) is still not the issue.

My reasoning for (E) is not that illegal parkers wanted to park legally. The point is simpler: after the garage opened, there may have been more legal parking spaces available, so some people who previously had no convenient legal option may no longer have needed to park illegally.

That does not require assuming that all illegal parkers prefer legal parking. It only gives an alternative cause for the drop in violations.

So (E) attacks the causal claim directly, while (D) adds an unnecessary assumption about drivers’ preferences.
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