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willget800
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Probability of admit 15 Feb 2007, 11:44
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So I finished interviewing at the following schools -
Chicago, Duke and Cornell. Have an interview lined up at LBS soon.
So this is my estimation.. math gurus pls advice -

Individial prob of admit, not incl waitlist (I came up with these numbers from historical data from many sites)

Chicago - 1/4
LBS - 1/3
Cornell - 1/3
Duke - 1/3

Prob of admit in atleast one school = 1 - Prob of no admit at all schools
= 1 - 3/4 * 2/3 ^3
= 77.78%

Pretty high.. I doubt it!
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ps_dahiya
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Concentration: Strategy, Entrepreneurship
Schools:Completed at SAID BUSINESS SCHOOL, OXFORD - Class of 2008
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Probability of admit 15 Feb 2007, 11:50
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Just as laws of physics fail in a black hole, calculations of probability fail in the b-school admission process.
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willget800
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Probability of admit 15 Feb 2007, 11:56
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ps_dahiya
Just as laws of physics fail in a black hole, calculations of probability fail in the b-school admission process.
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good one
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typicalgmatter
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Probability of admit 15 Feb 2007, 12:04
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HAHAHA I did the same thing a few days ago! It's obviously not an accurate predictor, but I am in the early stages of the waiting game freak out...
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stavrogin
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Probability of admit 15 Feb 2007, 12:47
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willget800
So I finished interviewing at the following schools -
Chicago, Duke and Cornell. Have an interview lined up at LBS soon.
So this is my estimation.. math gurus pls advice -

Individial prob of admit, not incl waitlist (I came up with these numbers from historical data from many sites)

Chicago - 1/4
LBS - 1/3
Cornell - 1/3
Duke - 1/3

Prob of admit in atleast one school = 1 - Prob of no admit at all schools
= 1 - 3/4 * 2/3 ^3
= 77.78%

Pretty high.. I doubt it!
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this is assuming, of course, that there is absolutely no correlation between admissions from one school to another. if only it were so simple, i would have applied to 20 schools. :lol: