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11 Jun 2016, 06:56
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The following appeared in a newspaper editorial:
'The claims of some politicians that we are on the brink of an energy crisis are misguided. We have enough oil in reserve to see us through any production shortage and the supply of in-ground oil is in no danger of running out any time soon. There is thus no need to set aside the technology and infrastructure of a century of oil based energy'
The author states that the claims of some politicians that we are on the brink of an energy crisis are misguided. He says that we have enough oil reserves to overcome any production shortages. He also claims that we have good enough in-ground oil supply. He thus concludes that we need not set aside the technology and infrastructure of a century of oil based energy and we need to carry on with the same, The conclusion put forward by the author is based upon assumptions that are faulty and the points he puts forward have not been backed up by proper evidences.
The author mentions that the supply of in-ground supply of oil is not in a danger of running out any time soon. He however does not mention how long is long enough . Even a supply of oil enough for next hundred years could not be said to be enough supply of oil . Shifting from one source to another is not a swift process and the change may sometimes take decades to complete. Moreover, enough supply of oil does not guarantee that all the supply of oil can be extracted with the given technoloy and resources. We have seen the Great Economic Crisis of the 1970s where we had a lot of supplies of oil but could not extract it with the resources available.
Also, he mentions that we have enough oil reserve to see us through any production shortage. The question again is how long do we plan to rely on the reserve of oil . We might have oil reserves enough to last a year, or may be two. But does that mean that the reserves will outlast the production shortages? Lets consider the chances of a war in large scale. What if the countries producing the oil are not able to supply the oil for more than five years due to the war?
The author also fails to mention the location of the in -ground supply and the reserves . Can we rely completely upon the resources of other countries? And can we be a hundred percent sure that the countries will keep their supply steady?
The author misses to foresee the possibility of bad relations with the countries where supply of oil is abundant. International politics may play a role at any time and the relations may go south.
Last and most important, the author fails to look at the other reasons why we need to set aside the technology and infrastructure of oil based economy. Supply shortage is not the only reason behind it. The more important reason to make the shift is the impact the oil based energy is having on the environment. We may never run out of the supply but the oil based energy is depleting the environment every moment. The real reason to look out for another source of energy could be anything other than just the limited supply of oil.
Thus, the author needs to consider and mention a number of other factors to make an impressive reasoning. The author needs to avoid using vague words like enough and any time soon. The author also needs the think from multiple prospectives before reaching a conclusion. The passage can be made more conclusive by inserting facts and finding before reaching any conclusions.
'The claims of some politicians that we are on the brink of an energy crisis are misguided. We have enough oil in reserve to see us through any production shortage and the supply of in-ground oil is in no danger of running out any time soon. There is thus no need to set aside the technology and infrastructure of a century of oil based energy'
The author states that the claims of some politicians that we are on the brink of an energy crisis are misguided. He says that we have enough oil reserves to overcome any production shortages. He also claims that we have good enough in-ground oil supply. He thus concludes that we need not set aside the technology and infrastructure of a century of oil based energy and we need to carry on with the same, The conclusion put forward by the author is based upon assumptions that are faulty and the points he puts forward have not been backed up by proper evidences.
The author mentions that the supply of in-ground supply of oil is not in a danger of running out any time soon. He however does not mention how long is long enough . Even a supply of oil enough for next hundred years could not be said to be enough supply of oil . Shifting from one source to another is not a swift process and the change may sometimes take decades to complete. Moreover, enough supply of oil does not guarantee that all the supply of oil can be extracted with the given technoloy and resources. We have seen the Great Economic Crisis of the 1970s where we had a lot of supplies of oil but could not extract it with the resources available.
Also, he mentions that we have enough oil reserve to see us through any production shortage. The question again is how long do we plan to rely on the reserve of oil . We might have oil reserves enough to last a year, or may be two. But does that mean that the reserves will outlast the production shortages? Lets consider the chances of a war in large scale. What if the countries producing the oil are not able to supply the oil for more than five years due to the war?
The author also fails to mention the location of the in -ground supply and the reserves . Can we rely completely upon the resources of other countries? And can we be a hundred percent sure that the countries will keep their supply steady?
The author misses to foresee the possibility of bad relations with the countries where supply of oil is abundant. International politics may play a role at any time and the relations may go south.
Last and most important, the author fails to look at the other reasons why we need to set aside the technology and infrastructure of oil based economy. Supply shortage is not the only reason behind it. The more important reason to make the shift is the impact the oil based energy is having on the environment. We may never run out of the supply but the oil based energy is depleting the environment every moment. The real reason to look out for another source of energy could be anything other than just the limited supply of oil.
Thus, the author needs to consider and mention a number of other factors to make an impressive reasoning. The author needs to avoid using vague words like enough and any time soon. The author also needs the think from multiple prospectives before reaching a conclusion. The passage can be made more conclusive by inserting facts and finding before reaching any conclusions.
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