The Prompt: “The producers of the forthcoming movie 3003 will be most likely to maximize their profits if they are willing to pay Robin Good several million dollars to star in it—even though that amount is far more than any other person involved with the movie will make. After all, Robin has in the past been paid a similar amount to work in several films that were very financially successful.”The argument states that in order for the producers of the upcoming movie 3003 to maximize profits, they must be willing to pay the actor Robin Good several million dollars to star in it. The reason for this argument is that other films starring Robin Good have also earned him a similar amount and have been successful financially. However, the producers make unsubstantiated arguments and an overall weak argument.
The producers' argument has a key issue in that it assumes that several of Robin Good's previous financially successful films were successful because he starred in them, rather than that he happened to star in pictures that would have been just as profitable without him. The producers, somewhat naively, fail to recognise that Robin Good's previous films may have been exceptional for a variety of reasons, including good direction, a captivating storyline, a very likeable cast, or special effects. However, one way for the producers to back up their claim is to see if people watch movies solely because Robin Good is in them.
Secondly, even if several of Robin Good's previous films were financially successful, the producers provide no information regarding how many of Robin Good's previous films were not successful, yet they anticipate to maximise earnings from 3003 by hiring Robin Good. For example, if Robin Good has starred in 15 films in the last five years, three of which have been commercially successful, he is unlikely to be the ideal choice for the role, nor is it worth the budget to hire him. Even if Robin Good is a hugely successful person, it cannot be argued that he is the driving force behind a film's success. Anne Hathaway, for example, despite being one of America's most successful actors, has a decent number of bad films amid her many successful ones. The producers might bolster their case by presenting additional information about Robin Good's track record: if every single one of Robin Good's films was a financial success, their case would be far more convincing.
Several films in which Robin Good acted were highly financially successful, despite his enormous costs, according to the argument. This is yet another weak and unsubstantiated claim, as the reasoning implies, without justification, that the background situation remained unchanged. Just though Robin Good has made a fortune for his former employers in the past does not indicate he will continue to do so in the future. It could be that new and younger performers are more popular than Robin Good and people prefer to see them in movies, or Robin Good's performance simply isn't as good as it once was. The argument would have been far more convincing if the evidence showed that nothing has changed in terms of Robin Good's popularity and acting.
Finally, assuming Robin Good is the reason for the success of many of his films and has a flawless track record, it is illogical to claim that hiring him will maximise the film's earnings. The producers ignore the fact that any other highly accomplished actor could easily replace Robin Good for a fraction of the expense. Furthermore, if casting another actor lowers production expenses significantly, it might be worthwhile because the film could provide a significantly higher return on investment, even if overall ticket sales are down 10-20%. Is Robin Good the only actor who can help the film make the most money? Is there anything else that can achieve the same result? Without compelling answers to these questions, one is left with the feeling that the claim is based on wishful thinking rather than fact.
It is necessary to have complete information of all contributing aspects in order to appraise the merits of a certain decision. In this scenario, whether the producers could find alternative ways to optimise their revenues and whether Robin Good is still a high-quality and popular performer who can draw audiences to the movies is yet to be known. In conclusion, the producers' reasoning is neither compelling nor logical. In reaching their conclusion, the producers make a number of unjustified assumptions, rendering their argument invalid in its current form.