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Bunuel,

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arunbhati
The Siberian crane (Grus leucogeranus), also known as the Siberian white crane or the Snow crane, is a bird of the family Gruidae, the cranes. It is a long-distance migrant and among the cranes, makes the longest migrations. The species spends its winters in Fereydoon Kenar in Iran and Keoladeo National Park, India.

Due to increased human activity and encroachment in Keoladeo National Park, migration patterns of Siberian cranes have been affected. Their nesting sites have been encroached upon and the breeding rate is declining. With Iran struggling with its own population explosion, very soon we will see a decline in the breeding in Iran also.

Select the additional information that, if true, would most strengthen the conclusion drawn and select the additional information that, if true, would most weaken the conclusion drawn. Make only two selections, one in each column
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The answer to the weaken question doesn't address the conclusion, which mainly points to the decline in breeding rate in Iran, but the answer chosen is the one about changes in India, which doesn't address the conclusion of the argument. The better answer could've been either the 2nd choice or the 3rd, which follows up with the conclusion.
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Hi Karanrev,

You've spotted something real: the conclusion is about Iran ("very soon we will see a decline in the breeding in Iran also"). But look at why the author believes that. The prediction isn't based on anything happening in Iran yet - it's an analogy.

The logic runs like this:
- In India, human encroachment hit the nesting sites → breeding declined.
- Iran is facing a population explosion (its own encroachment pressure).
- Therefore Iran will follow the same path India did.

The whole forecast leans on one hidden assumption: that once encroachment starts, a breeding decline is basically inevitable and unstoppable - that's the only reason India's story tells us anything about Iran's future.

That's the crack Option 4 exploits. By showing India has rolled back the incursions and is reversing the damage, it says the trend is not inevitable - encroachment can be halted. If the India precedent can be reversed, the "it happened there, so it'll happen here" bridge collapses. So the Iran prediction loses its support. That's a genuine weaken, even though the fact itself is about India - it attacks the reasoning, not the location.

Why Option 3 doesn't do the job: the argument's mechanism is encroachment / human activity squeezing nesting sites. Option 3 is about rewarding people who capture poachers - a different threat entirely, and it doesn't touch the population-explosion pressure the conclusion rests on.

Why Option 2 fails: cranes drifting toward inhospitable desert is ambiguous - if anything it hints at more trouble, not less, so it doesn't weaken the predicted decline.

Quick habit to build: when a conclusion is a prediction by analogy, you can weaken it either by attacking the new case or by breaking the analogy itself. Undermining the premise that the pattern must repeat is often the sharpest weaken available.

Answer: Column 1 = Fleeing from Iranian army, the armed dissidents in Iran have made their strongholds near Fereydoon Kenar; Column 2 = The Indian government has initiated tough measures to roll back incursions into the cranes' breeding grounds

Karanrev
The answer to the weaken question doesn't address the conclusion, which mainly points to the decline in breeding rate in Iran, but the answer chosen is the one about changes in India, which doesn't address the conclusion of the argument. The better answer could've been either the 2nd choice or the 3rd, which follows up with the conclusion.

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