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Doesn't Toyohashi also reduce, from 30 to 20? Making the answer to this statement false?
Bunuel
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The table below provides data on turtle nest counts at various Japanese beaches, showing specific counts from a past year and from 2013.

BeachYear of Past Nest CountPast Nest Count2013 Nest CountPrefecture
Akabane19922939Aichi
Atsum19961950Aichi
Hiwasa19797618Tokushima
Inakahama19865402504Kagoshima
Itoman1992419Okinawa
Kujukuri20041539Chiba
Maehama19896111637Okinawa
Minaba Senri1985162236Wakayama
Miyazaki19856071143Miyazaki
Nagahama1997106612Okinawa
Ohgi & Shimonokae1995930Okayama
Okata19911937Yamaguchi
Shima Peninsula20002543Mie
Shingu19891515Fukuoka
Toyohashi19953020Aichi

For each of the following statements, select True if the statement can be verified to be true based on the information provided. Otherwise, select False.

Official Solution:

Test one of the largest increases in the shortest period of time using the provided calculator. Nagahama beach had an initial estimate in 1997 of 106 nests and an estimate of 612 nests 17 years later for 2013. The total percent increase in that time was equal to (612 - 106) / 106 × 100 = 477%. That percentage divided by the 17 years would be approximately 34% per year.

Statement 1:

Based on the table, the prefectures that did not experience an increase in nest counts from past estimates to 2013 are:

• Tokushima (Hiwasa): Decreased from 76 to 18.

• Fukuoka (Shingu): Remained unchanged at 15.

Therefore, this statement is True.

Statement 2:

The greatest increase occurred at Nagahama Beach, where the nest count rose from 106 to 612, representing an increase of approximately six times, which corresponds to a 500% increase, not 600%. Therefore, this statement is False.

Statement 3:

From 1989 to 2013, the nest count at Maehama Beach increased from 611 to 1,637, corresponding to more than 2.5 times increase over 24 years: \(611*rate^{24} =1,637\). If the rate remains the same, in 12 years, the nest count becomes \(1,637*rate^{12}\). Since \(rate^{24} ≈ 2.5\), then \(rate^{12}=\sqrt{2.5}\). The square root of 2.5 is more than 1.5 (\(1.5^2 = 2.25\)), thus \(rate^{12} > 1.5\). This means that the nest count from 1,637 will increase by more than 50%, resulting in more than 2,400 nests in 2025.


Correct answer:

Based on the table, exactly two prefectures, based on their total nest counts, did not experience an increase from past estimates to 2013. "True"

Based on the table, the greatest percentage increase in nest counts from past estimates to 2013 was approximately 600%. "False"

If the annual rate of increase at Maehama Beach remained constant from 1989 to 2013 and continues at the same rate until 2025, the estimated nest count in 2025 will exceed 2,400. "True"

Check the highlighted part. The statement talks about the prefectures, not beaches.


Based on the table, exactly two prefectures, based on their total nest counts, did not experience an increase from past estimates to 2013. "True"
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1. Based on the table, exactly two prefectures did not experience an increase in nest counts from the past estimates to 2013. Here you have to be careful with prefectures, for example Aishi experienced a decrease at Toyohashi but it doesn't mean it didn't experience an increase (Akabane). Shingu and Hiwasa are the only beaches that don't increase (other than Toyohashi) and they belong to prefectures which only include them. So, this statement is true.

2. Based on the table, the greatest percentage increase in nest counts from past estimates to 2013 was approximately 600%. Let's look at the beaches with a more than 3x increase:

  • Inakahama. 540 to 2504 means a \(100 * \frac{2504 - 540}{540} \approx 364\%\) increase.
  • Ohgi & Shimonokae. 9 to 30 means a \(100 * \frac{30 - 9}{9} \approx 233\%\) increase.
  • Nagahama. 106 to 612 means a \(100 * \frac{612 - 106}{106} \approx 477\%\) increase.
  • Itoman. 4 to 19 means a \(100 * \frac{19 - 4}{4} = 375\%\) increase.

The largest increase (477%) is less than 600%, so, this statement is false.

3. If the annual rate of increase at Maehama Beach remained constant from 1989 to 2013 and continues at the same rate until 2025, the estimated nest count in 2025 will exceed 2,400. From 1989 to 2013 Maehama Beach went from 611 to 1637 over 24 years, which is an increase in \(\frac{1637}{611} \approx 2.68\) times or \(\sqrt[24]{2.68}\) times per year on average. If the annual rate stayed the same until 2025, then the nest count will increase by \((\sqrt[24]{2.68})^{12} = \sqrt{2.68} \approx 1.64\) times or from 1637 to \(1637 * 1.64 \approx 2685\), which is more than 2400. So, the statement is true.
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In the Statement 3, the nest count was 1637 in 2013, and 611 in 1989, which is an increase of 1026 in 24 years. And, it is 12 years from 2013 to 2025, which means, at the same rate, the nest count should have been half of what it was during 1989-2013, that is 1026/2 = 513, and 1637+513, we will get 2150, and it is <2400.
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I think you made the mistake of using addition for the rate. Instead the annual rate is percent increase, for example: a 2% annual increase to 1000 is equal to 1000 * 1.02, and over 10 years it's \(1000 * (1.02)^{10}\).
chai9944
In the Statement 3, the nest count was 1637 in 2013, and 611 in 1989, which is an increase of 1026 in 24 years. And, it is 12 years from 2013 to 2025, which means, at the same rate, the nest count should have been half of what it was during 1989-2013, that is 1026/2 = 513, and 1637+513, we will get 2150, and it is <2400.
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Bunuel
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The table below provides data on turtle nest counts at various Japanese beaches, showing specific counts from a past year and from 2013.

BeachYear of Past Nest CountPast Nest Count2013 Nest CountPrefecture
Akabane19922939Aichi
Atsum19961950Aichi
Hiwasa19797618Tokushima
Inakahama19865402504Kagoshima
Itoman1992419Okinawa
Kujukuri20041539Chiba
Maehama19896111637Okinawa
Minaba Senri1985162236Wakayama
Miyazaki19856071143Miyazaki
Nagahama1997106612Okinawa
Ohgi & Shimonokae1995930Okayama
Okata19911937Yamaguchi
Shima Peninsula20002543Mie
Shingu19891515Fukuoka
Toyohashi19953020Aichi

For each of the following statements, select True if the statement can be verified to be true based on the information provided. Otherwise, select False.

Official Solution:

Test one of the largest increases in the shortest period of time using the provided calculator. Nagahama beach had an initial estimate in 1997 of 106 nests and an estimate of 612 nests 17 years later for 2013. The total percent increase in that time was equal to (612 - 106) / 106 × 100 = 477%. That percentage divided by the 17 years would be approximately 34% per year.

Statement 1:

Based on the table, the prefectures that did not experience an increase in nest counts from past estimates to 2013 are:

• Tokushima (Hiwasa): Decreased from 76 to 18.

• Fukuoka (Shingu): Remained unchanged at 15.

Therefore, this statement is True.

Statement 2:

The greatest increase occurred at Nagahama Beach, where the nest count rose from 106 to 612, representing an increase of approximately six times, which corresponds to a 500% increase, not 600%. Therefore, this statement is False.

Statement 3:

From 1989 to 2013, the nest count at Maehama Beach increased from 611 to 1,637, corresponding to more than 2.5 times increase over 24 years: \(611*rate^{24} =1,637\). If the rate remains the same, in 12 years, the nest count becomes \(1,637*rate^{12}\). Since \(rate^{24} ≈ 2.5\), then \(rate^{12}=\sqrt{2.5}\). The square root of 2.5 is more than 1.5 (\(1.5^2 = 2.25\)), thus \(rate^{12} > 1.5\). This means that the nest count from 1,637 will increase by more than 50%, resulting in more than 2,400 nests in 2025.


Correct answer:

Based on the table, exactly two prefectures, based on their total nest counts, did not experience an increase from past estimates to 2013. "True"

Based on the table, the greatest percentage increase in nest counts from past estimates to 2013 was approximately 600%. "False"

If the annual rate of increase at Maehama Beach remained constant from 1989 to 2013 and continues at the same rate until 2025, the estimated nest count in 2025 will exceed 2,400. "True"
But in the table there are three prefectures as such. Aichi is also a prefecture. Two of them gets decreased Hiwasa's Tokushima (76 to 18) and Toyohashi's Aichi (30 to 20) and one remains the same, Shingu's Fukuoka at 15. What am I missing? I am sure I have taken these from only prefectures.
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Nivev
Bunuel
Bunuel
The table below provides data on turtle nest counts at various Japanese beaches, showing specific counts from a past year and from 2013.

BeachYear of Past Nest CountPast Nest Count2013 Nest CountPrefecture
Akabane19922939Aichi
Atsum19961950Aichi
Hiwasa19797618Tokushima
Inakahama19865402504Kagoshima
Itoman1992419Okinawa
Kujukuri20041539Chiba
Maehama19896111637Okinawa
Minaba Senri1985162236Wakayama
Miyazaki19856071143Miyazaki
Nagahama1997106612Okinawa
Ohgi & Shimonokae1995930Okayama
Okata19911937Yamaguchi
Shima Peninsula20002543Mie
Shingu19891515Fukuoka
Toyohashi19953020Aichi

For each of the following statements, select True if the statement can be verified to be true based on the information provided. Otherwise, select False.

Official Solution:

Test one of the largest increases in the shortest period of time using the provided calculator. Nagahama beach had an initial estimate in 1997 of 106 nests and an estimate of 612 nests 17 years later for 2013. The total percent increase in that time was equal to (612 - 106) / 106 × 100 = 477%. That percentage divided by the 17 years would be approximately 34% per year.

Statement 1:

Based on the table, the prefectures that did not experience an increase in nest counts from past estimates to 2013 are:

• Tokushima (Hiwasa): Decreased from 76 to 18.

• Fukuoka (Shingu): Remained unchanged at 15.

Therefore, this statement is True.

Statement 2:

The greatest increase occurred at Nagahama Beach, where the nest count rose from 106 to 612, representing an increase of approximately six times, which corresponds to a 500% increase, not 600%. Therefore, this statement is False.

Statement 3:

From 1989 to 2013, the nest count at Maehama Beach increased from 611 to 1,637, corresponding to more than 2.5 times increase over 24 years: \(611*rate^{24} =1,637\). If the rate remains the same, in 12 years, the nest count becomes \(1,637*rate^{12}\). Since \(rate^{24} ≈ 2.5\), then \(rate^{12}=\sqrt{2.5}\). The square root of 2.5 is more than 1.5 (\(1.5^2 = 2.25\)), thus \(rate^{12} > 1.5\). This means that the nest count from 1,637 will increase by more than 50%, resulting in more than 2,400 nests in 2025.


Correct answer:

Based on the table, exactly two prefectures, based on their total nest counts, did not experience an increase from past estimates to 2013. "True"

Based on the table, the greatest percentage increase in nest counts from past estimates to 2013 was approximately 600%. "False"

If the annual rate of increase at Maehama Beach remained constant from 1989 to 2013 and continues at the same rate until 2025, the estimated nest count in 2025 will exceed 2,400. "True"
But in the table there are three prefectures as such. Aichi is also a prefecture. Two of them gets decreased Hiwasa's Tokushima (76 to 18) and Toyohashi's Aichi (30 to 20) and one remains the same, Shingu's Fukuoka at 15. What am I missing? I am sure I have taken these from only prefectures.

Statement 1: Based on the table, exactly two prefectures, based on their total nest counts, did not experience an increase from past estimates to 2013. "True"

There are three beaches in Aichi Prefecture: Akabane, Atsumi, and Toyohashi. While one of the beaches, Toyohashi, did not experience an increase in nest count from past estimates to 2013, the total nest count for the entire prefecture did show an increase.

This is why Aichi is not included in the count of prefectures with no increase.
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