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Bunuel
A five-person team is to be formed from a pool of 6 East All Stars and 6 West All Stars. What is the probability that the team will contain at least 2 East All Stars?

A. 29/33
B. 81/169
C. 57/120
D. 47/144
E. 119/720

Hi Bunuel, Math Experts,

Ive been trying to find a pattern to understand when do we need to multiply the counts by the number of arrangements and when not to.
For example, in this question, while counting the probability of selecting a team that contains 3 east all stars and 2 west all stars, what I did was :

\(\frac{6C3*6C3}{12C3}\) * \(\frac{5!}{3!*2!}\)

Similarly, I counted the numbers for a team with 2 east all stars, 4 east all stars and all 5 east all stars.

Can you please help understand the concept ?

For ex., why did we multiply by the no. of arrangements in qsn : https://gmatclub.com/forum/there-are-8- ... 92342.html but not in the current one ?
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Bunuel
A five-person team is to be formed from a pool of 6 East All Stars and 6 West All Stars. What is the probability that the team will contain at least 2 East All Stars?

A. 29/33
B. 81/169
C. 57/120
D. 47/144
E. 119/720

It is sometimes really good thing to check options fist.
For ex in this case we could save us a lot of time.

All these probabilities except that one in A are less than 1/2. It just can't be. So the answer is A
Why? How many players from East can be in our command? 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5.
Which ones fit in our case? 2, 3, 4, 5- it is definetely more than and 1.
(We know that 6C6 = 6C0, 6C5 = 6C1 and so on).
So the probaility will be decently greater than 1/2.
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In reality, This is a poor quality question. Once you realize that denominator has to have a multiple of 11 which is missing in all other options - then you know option A has to be the only answer.
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Trent981
In reality, This is a poor quality question. Once you realize that denominator has to have a multiple of 11 which is missing in all other options - then you know option A has to be the only answer.

Trent981

Two things.

First, what about that observation makes you believe that it is a poor quality question? That is EXACTLY the type of thing GMAC does on questions. If someone feels compelled to work through the math, have a great time; they'll get to the right answer. But if someone can spot a path to the finish line that avoids the math, that's just as valid (I'd argue that it is MORE valid given the purpose of the GMAT). Have you noticed that the section is called "Quantitative Reasoning," not "Quantitative?" Business schools couldn't care less whether you can do permutations and combinations. They are not looking for the next amazing high school math teacher; they are looking for the next tycoons of business. Those people tend to be less about nCr than they are about finding creative solutions, thinking outside the box, and identifying what's important and what's not. This question is a GREAT example.

Second, what if I told you there's an even easier way than the one you identified?
We have an equal number of Es and Ws and need to pick five. Aren't more than half of the arrangements going to contain at least two Es? Only one answer choice is >50%.
Answer choice A.
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Bunuel
A five-person team is to be formed from a pool of 6 East All Stars and 6 West All Stars. What is the probability that the team will contain at least 2 East All Stars?

A. 29/33
B. 81/169
C. 57/120
D. 47/144
E. 119/720

At least 2 East All stars can mean a few different scenarios given the information in the question stem.

Total Pool: 6 East All Stars and 6 West All Stars

Out of a five-person team, we can have:

2 East All Stars and 3 West All Stars OR

3 East All Stars and 2 West All Stars OR

4 East All Stars and 1 West All Star OR

5 East All Stars

Using the probability formula:
Favorable cases/ Total Cases

P(First Scenario) :
2 East and 3 West

6C2 x 6C3 / 12C5 =
15 x 20 / 792 = 300 / 792

P(Second Scenario) :
3 East and 2 West

6C3 x 6C2 / 12C5 =
20 x 15 / 792 = 300 / 792

P(Third Scenaro) :
4 East and 1 West

6C4 x 6C1 / 12C5 =
15 x 6 / 792 = 90 / 792

P(Fourth Scenario) :
5 East

6C5 / 12C5 =
6 / 792

Probability of At Least 2 East All Stars =
P(first) + P(second) + P(third) + P(fourth)

300/792 + 300/792 + 90/792 + 6/792 =

696/792 which simplifies to 29/33

Option A

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Given: A five-person team is to be formed from a pool of 6 East All Stars and 6 West All Stars.

Asked: What is the probability that the team will contain at least 2 East All Stars?

Total cases = 12C5 = 792
Favorable case = 6C2*6C3 + 6C3*6C2 + 6C4*6C1 + 6C5*6C0 = 15*20 + 20*15 + 15*6 + 6 = 696

The probability that team will consist of at least 2 East All Stars = 696/792 = 29/33

IMO A

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