Economist: In response to prolonged inflationary pressure, several central banks have raised interest rates to their highest levels in over a decade. The intended effect is to curb inflation by reducing consumer demand. However, in Country X, core inflation has remained stubbornly high despite multiple rate hikes over the past year. Some policymakers now argue that raising rates further will have no effect. But that conclusion may be premature. Unlike in prior tightening cycles, consumers in Country X have unusually high cash reserves due to recent fiscal stimulus programs. Once those excess savings are depleted, current interest rates may begin to exert a stronger downward influence on inflation.
so as to counter rising inflation , central banks have raised interest rates .. target is to reduce consumer demand..
policymakers are calling raising rates no effect and a a failure , which is to premature to conclude as
consumers in country X have high cash reserves so until it does not deplete the impact will not come into place of high interest rate..
strengthen the conclusion
Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the economist’s argument?
A. In previous decades, interest rate hikes took up to 18 months to fully impact inflation, particularly in economies where household savings were low.this strengthens the conclusion, citing reason that if it took 18 months to impact in economy with low savings so in country with high cash reserve household would take more time ; correct option
B. Inflation in Country X has recently shown signs of moderating in sectors unrelated to consumer demand, such as energy and commodities.
consumer demands is what is discussed ; not relevant to argument
C. Surveys indicate that many consumers in Country X do not fully understand how interest rate changes affect their day-to-day expenses.
this does not strengthen the conclusion of the argument
D. Businesses in Country X have begun raising prices primarily in response to wage pressures rather than increased demand.
this weakens the conclusion of the argument
E. Central banks in countries without recent stimulus programs have also struggled to bring down inflation through interest rate increases.
this does not support the argument ..
OPTION A is correct