Policy makers says "Raising interest rate does not reduce consumer demand, so don't have any effect on core inflation"
Countering the argument, Economist says "During Prior tightening cycles, yes, raise interest rates curb inflation, by reducing consumer demand. But this time, consumer demand has not reduced due to recent fiscal stimulus program, which results cash in hands of consumer. So, consumer demand is more, so Inflation is still high"
Option-A:
Strengthens, bcoz, during previous decade, even without fiscals stimulus program, it took 18 months. But this time, with stimulus program, it may take bit longer than 18 months. Now interest rate hiking is only since a year.
Option-B:
May strengthen (confused), Since consumers are with cash, demand is on higher side. However, other sectors like energy & commodities, interest rate hike, moderated the inflation. So, when cash would go dry, the consumer demand decreases, so inflation may curtailed
Option-C: Irrelevant
Option-D: How does it strengthens. People are asking more wages, so to raise wages, business are raising prices hence inflation is increasing. So, interest rate raise or stimulus does not have any effect
Option-E: Weakening
Bunuel
Economist: In response to prolonged inflationary pressure, several central banks have raised interest rates to their highest levels in over a decade. The intended effect is to curb inflation by reducing consumer demand. However, in Country X, core inflation has remained stubbornly high despite multiple rate hikes over the past year. Some policymakers now argue that raising rates further will have no effect. But that conclusion may be premature. Unlike in prior tightening cycles, consumers in Country X have unusually high cash reserves due to recent fiscal stimulus programs. Once those excess savings are depleted, current interest rates may begin to exert a stronger downward influence on inflation.
Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the economist’s argument?
A. In previous decades, interest rate hikes took up to 18 months to fully impact inflation, particularly in economies where household savings were low.
B. Inflation in Country X has recently shown signs of moderating in sectors unrelated to consumer demand, such as energy and commodities.
C. Surveys indicate that many consumers in Country X do not fully understand how interest rate changes affect their day-to-day expenses.
D. Businesses in Country X have begun raising prices primarily in response to wage pressures rather than increased demand.
E. Central banks in countries without recent stimulus programs have also struggled to bring down inflation through interest rate increases.
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