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10 Jul 2018, 00:46
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C
Be sure to select an answer first to save it in the Error Log before revealing the correct answer (OA)!
Difficulty:
35%
(medium)
Question Stats:
67% (01:26) correct
33%
(01:36)
wrong
based on 280
sessions
History
Date
Time
Result
Not Attempted Yet
A company specializing in the sales of industrial flooring has been hit hard by the recent economic downturn. Mike has worked for this company for fifteen years and now holds a senior sales position. In recent years, his sales record has been stellar, but over the last few months, his sales have been low due to the slowdown. His boss has asked to meet with him next week. Mike is convinced that the company will not fire him: "I've been working with the company for well over a decade, and I have an excellent sales record. If anyone can find a way to boost sales and benefit the company, I'm the person. Therefore, I have no doubt that my job is safe."
The flaw in Mike's reasoning is that he
A. believes that his loyalty to the company will guarantee that he keeps his job
B. does not realize that the company is already bankrupt and has to lay off many employees
C. equates his past success with future opportunity regardless of the economic conditions
D. is a close friend of his boss and knows that his boss would not risk firing a friend
E. assumes that the company has as much confidence in his ability to improve his sales record as he does
The flaw in Mike's reasoning is that he
A. believes that his loyalty to the company will guarantee that he keeps his job
B. does not realize that the company is already bankrupt and has to lay off many employees
C. equates his past success with future opportunity regardless of the economic conditions
D. is a close friend of his boss and knows that his boss would not risk firing a friend
E. assumes that the company has as much confidence in his ability to improve his sales record as he does
19 Jun 2021, 15:00
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Bunuel
OFFICIAL EXPLANATION
Overview:
Question 2 presents a scenario in which someone (Mike) is attempting to predict future events on the basis of his past experience. Three important factors must be considered: (1) the company for which Mike works is suffering due to the economic downturn, (2) the detail that Mike has had a strong sales record in the past but has struggled to maintain it in recent months because of the weak economy, and (3) the fact that Mike’s boss has asked to see him. Mike concludes that his boss will not fire him because of his time with the company, his excellent record, and his potential to succeed in spite of the crisis. The student is asked to consider how Mike’s reasoning is flawed.
The Correct Answer:
C Answer choice (C) is the only selection that takes all of the elements into account and summarizes the substance of the problem with Mike’s argument: he believes his success in the past will translate automatically to future success, despite his failure over the last few months to keep his sales high. He also believes that the company will look only at his past success and will not consider current factors, including his recent struggles and the economic situation as a whole. Thus answer choice (C) is correct.
The Incorrect Answers:
A, E Although answer choices (A) and (E) do address separate parts of the problem with Mike’s reasoning, neither addresses all of it. Mike’s belief in his loyalty to the company (“I’ve been working with the company for well over a decade”) and in the company’s confidence in his ability to overcome the tough economy (“If anyone can find a way to boost sales and benefit the company, I’m the person”) both contribute to the flaw in his argument, but neither encompasses it fully. Both answer choices (A) and (E), therefore, are incorrect.
B Answer choice (B) provides an interesting piece of information, but in terms of Mike’s argument it is largely irrelevant and does not address the flaw in Mike’s reasoning in any way. It contributes a piece of information that might support the theory that the company will indeed fire Mike, but it fails to explain how Mike’s own argument is problematic.
D Answer (D), again, is interesting but irrelevant to Mike’s argument and does not address the flaw in his reasoning. That Mike is a close friend of his boss might make it more difficult for his boss to fire him, but since Mike does not mention this in his statement in any way, it cannot be assumed that this contributes to his reasoning. Answer choice (D) is incorrect.
General Discussion
10 Jul 2018, 01:57
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+1 for C.
Logical gap :
Mike assumes that because of his past experiences and performance, his boss will not fire him, and that his job is safe, despite of the adverse market condition(downturn).
C. equates his past success with future opportunity regardless of the economic conditions --> Correct
Hence, C.
Logical gap :
Mike assumes that because of his past experiences and performance, his boss will not fire him, and that his job is safe, despite of the adverse market condition(downturn).
C. equates his past success with future opportunity regardless of the economic conditions --> Correct
Hence, C.
