Researcher: The vast majority of a person’s dreams bear no resemblance whatsoever to real events that follow the dreams. Thus, it is unreasonable to believe that one has extrasensory perception solely on the basis of having had several vivid dreams about events that happen after the dreams.
Which one of the following arguments is most similar in its reasoning to the argument above?
(A) It is unreasonable to believe that a new drug cures heart disease when it is tested, albeit successfully, on
only a few patients. Most
new drugs require testing on large numbers of patients before they are considered effective. - WRONG. A general theory and with its logic applied to a case with not enough tests to prove. Minority of patients tested.
(B)
Many people who undergo surgery for ulcers show no long-term improvement. So it is unreasonable to believe that surgery for ulcers is effective, even though ulcer surgery benefits many people as well. - WRONG. Again 'many' can be very small in number.
(C) Even though
many cancer patients experience remissions without drinking herbal tea, it is unreasonable to believe that not drinking herbal tea causes such remissions.
Several factors are known to be relevant to cancer remission. - WRONG. Other factors is not our concern.
(D) A number of people who die prematurely take aspirin. But it is unreasonable to conclude that aspirin is dangerous. Most people who take aspirin do not die prematurely. - CORRECT. It looked like similar to A to me.
(E) A significant number of children raised near power lines develop cancer.
So it is unreasonable to deny a connection between living near power lines and developing cancer,
even though many people living near power lines never develop cancer. - WRONG. The conclusion gives a reason that is against it. Somewhat like C but looked a worthy contender to me.
Answer D.