Early in the twentieth century, Lake Konfa became very polluted. Recently fish populations have recovered as release of industrial pollutants has declined and the lake’s waters have become cleaner. Fears are now being voiced that the planned construction of an oil pipeline across the lake’s bottom might revive pollution and cause the fish population to decline again. However, a technology for preventing leaks is being installed. Therefore, provided this technology is effective, those fears are groundless.Conclusion:
provided this technology is effective, those fears (that the planned construction of an oil pipeline across the lake’s bottom might revive pollution and cause the fish population to decline again) are groundlessSupport for the conclusion:
a technology for preventing leaks is being installed We see that the reasoning of the argument is basically that, since technology for preventing leaks is being installed, as long as that technology is effective, construction of the pipeline won't result in pollution that causes the fish population to decline again.
One aspect of the reasoning that we might notice is that it jumps from evidence involving leak prevention to a conclusion about pollution in general.
The argument depends on assuming which of the following?This is an Assumption question. So, the correct answer will state something that must be true for the evidence to effectively support the conclusion.
A. Apart from development related to the pipeline, there will be no new industrial development around the lake that will create renewed pollution in its waters.The conclusion is that fears that construction of a pipeline specifically will revive pollution are groundless. It's not that there is no reason to believe the the lake will ever be polluted in the future.
So, this choice doesn't have to be true for the argument to work.
After all, even if industrial development will result in renewed pollution of the lake, it could still be the case the construction of the pipeline won't result in pollution.
Eliminate.
B. Other than the possibility of a leak, there is no realistic pollution threat posed to the lake by the pipeline’s construction.This choice is interesting.
After all, the conclusion is based on the fact that leak-prevention technology is being installed.
But what if there is a pollution threat posed by the construction other than the possibility of a leak?
In that case, even if there won't be any leaks, there could still be reason to fear that construction of the pipeline will result in pollution.
So, for the conclusion that the fears are groundless to be supported by the evidence about leak prevention, this choice has to be true.
Keep.
C. There is no reason to believe that the leak-preventing technology would be ineffective when installed in the pipeline in Lake Konfa.This choice is tricky. The key to eliminating it is to see that the argument specifically says, "
provided this technology is effective, those fears are groundless."
We see that the conclusion is basically that, IF the technology is effective, there's no reason to fear the lake will be polluted.
So, the argument does not assume that the technology is effective. Rather, the conclusion is about what is true as long as it is effective.
Eliminate.
D. Damage to the lake’s fish populations would be the only harm that a leak of oil from the pipeline would cause.This choice doesn't have to be true for the argument tow work.
After all, even if damage to the fish populations would NOT be the only harm that a leak would cause, it could make sense to conclude that, as long as the pipeline doesn't leak, construction of the pipeline won't result in pollution.
Simply put, the point of the argument is basically that, if there are no leaks, there won't be pollution, not that pollution resulting from a leak wouldn't cause harm.
Eliminate.
E. The species of fish that are present in Lake Konfa now are the same as those that were in the lake before it was affected by pollution.Concluding that construction of the pipeline will not cause a repeat of past pollution problems does not require assuming that the fish now in the lake are the same as the ones that were harmed in the past.
If anything, this choice goes in the wrong direction by indicating that any revival of pollution would have results similar to what occurred in the past because the fish are the same.
Eliminate.
Correct answer: B