There are 3 blue disks, 5 green disks, and nothing else in a container. Disks will be taken one at a time, and at random without replacement, from the container, until all 3 blue disks have been chosen. What is the probability that the third blue disks will be the seventh disk chosen?
A) 3/28
B) 1/8
C) 5/28
D) 15/56
E) 3/8
Probability 3rd Blue is seventh chosen = (# combos with 3rd blue seventh)/(total possible combos of where 3rd blue can be)
1) The third blue can be in spots 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8:
_ _ _B3
_ _ _ _B3
_ _ _ _ _B3
_ _ _ _ _ _B3
_ _ _ _ _ _ _B3
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _B3
2) Number of arrangements for each scenario depends on what can be placed before:
_ _ _B3 -----------------> BB -------------> (2!)/(2!) -----------> 1
_ _ _ _B3 --------------> BBG -----------------> (3!)/(2! * 1!) ---------> 3
_ _ _ _ _B3 -------------> BBGG ----------------> (4!)/(2! * 2!) -------------> 6
_ _ _ _ _ _B3 -----------> BBGGG ----------------> (5!)/(3! * 2!) ---------------> 10
_ _ _ _ _ _ _B3 -------------> BBGGGG ----------------> (6!)/(4! * 2!) -----------> 15
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _B3 -------------------> BBGGGGG ----------------> (7!)/(5! * 2!) -----> 21
Total Combos = 1 + 3 + 6 + 10 + 15 + 21 = 56
Total combos with B3 at seventh slot = 15
Prob B3 at seventh slot = 15/56
Answer: D