The following appeared in a letter from a university career center to recent alumni:
While our school's recent job placement rates have been dismal, there is hope on the way. National reports show that the economy has added over two hundred thousand jobs this quarter, and the capital markets seem to suggest that the economy will continue to expand rapidly. With the surge in hiring, there is no question that your Columbus State degree will lead toward gainful employment in the very near future.
Answer:The argument claims that Columbus State degree will lead towards gainful employment in the future basis the facts that National reports show that the economy has added over two hundred thousand jobs this quarter and capital markets see to suggest that the economy will continue to expand rapid even though the recent job placement rates have been dismal for the school. Stated this way the argument fails to mention several key factors on the basis of which it could be evaluated. Therefore he argument is rather weak, unconvincing and has several flaws.
First, the argument assumes that because the National reports show that economy has added over two hundred thousand jobs, the school’s placements will be better. This statement is a stretch because it is a general statement abut the economy and no specific conclusion should be determined by it. Increase in the jobs do not really suggest that the school’s students will get placed. The argument fails to establish the facts which lead to dismal placements. There can be various factors such as decline in the reputation of the school because of which less companies must have participated in the placement drive. Moreover, there may be expectation gap between the prospective candidate and the companies because of which the placement rate would have declined.
Second, The Capital Markets seem to suggest that the economy will continue to expand rapidly leads to a false belief that the school will be able to increase the placement rate solely on that factor. There can also be a situation that even though the economy will rise but the jobs may not rise proportionately. Hence, the placement rate might remain stagnant. If the argument had provided more evidences or facts which attributes to the increase in the placement rate of the school then the argument would have been a lot more convincing.
In conclusion, the argument is flawed for the above mentioned reasons and is therefore unconvincing. It could be considerably strengthened if the author clearly mentioned all the relevant facts. In order to assess the merits of a certain situation, it is essential to have full knowledge of all contributing factors.