Question:
The following appeared as part of a column in a popular entertainment magazine:
“The producers of the forthcoming movie 3003 will be most likely to maximize their profits if they are willing to pay Robin Good several million dollars to star in it—even though that amount is far more than any other person involved with the movie will make. After all, Robin has in the past been paid a similar amount to work in several films that were very financially successful.”
Response:
The author of the column mentions that, were the producers of the upcoming movie 3003 to pay Robin Good several million dollars to star in their movie, the movie's profits would be maximized. This is quite a leap based on the evidence cited. The author makes a connection between the pay a particular actor has gotten from previous work that has been successful and the profits of another film without mentioning the actor's specific genre of work, the budget of the film, or the roles the actor has had previously. These details make the argument flawed as discussed below.
First, It is not mentioned what the budget of the film is and how much of it is available. This is information that the author may or may not have access to but it is crucial to predict how this hiring decision may affect the film's profitability. It is possible that the budget can only accomodate Robin's salary by cutting on other production costs which can cause the quality of the film to diminish. If this were to happen we can't know if Robin's appearance alone can make up for the lack of quality and that can cause the film to lose money instead.
Second, the author does not mention the film's genre or the genre's in which Robin has appeared before. It is possible that Robin is a great actor but has only been featured in action films while 3003 is a romantic comedy. This would mean that Robin is not a good fit for that particular genre so the certainty that this would maximize profits and justify the multi-million dollar salary is lower than if another actor with more experience in the genre and a lower asking salary was hired instead.
Third, the author asks for Robin to be cast as the star of the film while only mentioning that they have worked in other financially succesful films. It may be the case that 3003 is an independent film with lower budget than major studio productions and that Robin is usually a supporting actor in these major productions. This could indicate that while Robin has been paid several millions to appear in film's, those films are also paying the same amount or more to other actors in leading roles and that might mean that the producers of 3003 cannot be sure that Robin will be able to fit the leading role in their film causing the reception of the movie to plummet and its profits with it.
To conclude, the author makes an assertion that is not entirely without merit and tries to alude that since this actor has been paid a certain amount in other films that have been successful, their presence alone will make another film successful and so it is justifiable to pay millions of dollars for their work. It may as well be the case that Robin is a perfect fit for the film because it's in the same genre as their previous work, Robin is a known leading actor in that genre, and the producers could give out that salary without significantly reducing production quality. But without knowing all of these details the conclusion stands on assumptions without base and incomplete information. Therefore, the argument is flawed.