mbaMission wrote:
Because of a rare type of fungus that killed off many cacao trees in Brazil, there was an unusually meager harvest of cacao beans this year. The wholesale price of cocoa solids and cocoa butter has increased significantly and is unlikely to fall in the foreseeable future. As a result, the retail price of chocolate is certain to increase within six months.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument above?
(A) Consumers will purchase other sweets if the price of chocolate increases.
(B) Researchers have discovered an effective method to kill the fungus.
(C) Dark and bittersweet varieties of chocolate will be affected more seriously than milk varieties.
(D) The price of chocolate has decreased steadily for three years.
(E) Most chocolate in stores is manufactured from cocoa that was purchased two years earlier.
Conclusion: the retail price of chocolate is certain to increase within six months.
Option E states that
Most chocolate in stores is manufactured from cocoa that was purchased two years earlier.
My question: The options says most chocolate i.e. atleast 50% and may be 100%. So it is not mentioned that all chocolate in stores is manufactured from cocoa that was purchased two years earlier. So the conclusion can be true and some increase in retail price is possible. So is it right to conclude: Most means All? No. So Why E? (I know other options are not even close but my question is w.r.t to E option only)
Pls help.
OFFICIAL EXPLANATION
The conclusion of the argument is that “the retail price of chocolate is certain to increase within six months.” This claim is based on the fact that the wholesale price of cocoa solids and cocoa butter has increased significantly and is likely to stay high. The argument assumes that the current retail price of chocolate reflects the current wholesale price of cocoa. The correct answer will weaken the conclusion by contradicting this assumption.
(A) The argument concludes that the retail price of chocolate is certain to increase - what consumers will or will not do in response to the predicted price increase is not relevant.
(B) If researchers have discovered a method to kill the fungus, then the cacao bean crop might recover, although this statement does not provide any indication that that will happen. This statement does not mention anything about when the fungicide method would be implemented, or how long the supposed cacao bean crop recovery would take. Therefore, this statement fails to weaken the conclusion that the retail price will increase within six months.
(C) The argument does not discuss the differences between types of chocolates, so the statement that dark and bittersweet varieties will be more seriously affected than milk varieties is irrelevant.
(D) The price of chocolate in the past is irrelevant to the conclusion about the price of chocolate in the next six months.
(E) CORRECT. This statement contradicts the assumption that the retail price of chocolate immediately reflects the wholesale price of cocoa solids and cocoa butter. If the chocolate currently sold in stores was made from cocoa purchased two years ago, then it may be quite some time before the current wholesale price increase is passed on to retail chocolate consumers.