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# When people predict that certain result will not take place

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Senior Manager
Joined: 26 Jun 2006
Posts: 439

Kudos [?]: 81 [0], given: 0

When people predict that certain result will not take place [#permalink]

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08 Aug 2006, 03:43
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When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.

Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?

(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction.

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Director
Joined: 17 Jul 2006
Posts: 700

Kudos [?]: 14 [0], given: 0

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08 Aug 2006, 12:59
Is it E or B?

I go for E

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VP
Joined: 15 Jul 2004
Posts: 1438

Kudos [?]: 227 [0], given: 13

Schools: Wharton (R2 - submitted); HBS (R2 - submitted); IIMA (admitted for 1 year PGPX)

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08 Aug 2006, 13:05
Second E.

Kudos [?]: 227 [0], given: 13

Director
Joined: 28 Dec 2005
Posts: 748

Kudos [?]: 18 [0], given: 0

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09 Aug 2006, 12:35
A for me

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Director
Joined: 26 Mar 2006
Posts: 628

Kudos [?]: 43 [0], given: 0

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09 Aug 2006, 17:01
'E' seems to be the closet

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Manager
Joined: 22 May 2006
Posts: 71

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09 Aug 2006, 18:01
I think it's A.....
whts the OA

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SVP
Joined: 30 Mar 2006
Posts: 1728

Kudos [?]: 103 [0], given: 0

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09 Aug 2006, 21:21
Will go with D.

On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.

Hence, if a result of an action can be atributed to different scenario, its quite impossible to distinguish if one prediction is better than the other.

Kudos [?]: 103 [0], given: 0

Senior Manager
Joined: 13 Jul 2006
Posts: 326

Kudos [?]: 10 [0], given: 0

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10 Aug 2006, 10:38
second for D

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VP
Joined: 15 Jul 2004
Posts: 1438

Kudos [?]: 227 [0], given: 13

Schools: Wharton (R2 - submitted); HBS (R2 - submitted); IIMA (admitted for 1 year PGPX)

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10 Aug 2006, 10:56
Any OA here?

Kudos [?]: 227 [0], given: 13

Current Student
Joined: 29 Jan 2005
Posts: 5201

Kudos [?]: 440 [0], given: 0

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12 Aug 2006, 08:15
At 2am, I hate this question. On T-Day I would make a blind guess (B). This HAS to be a twisted LSAT CR

Kudos [?]: 440 [0], given: 0

12 Aug 2006, 08:15
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# When people predict that certain result will not take place

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