Given: A bag contains only red, blue, and green chips. One chip is drawn at random from the bag and put back, then again one chip is drawn at random from the bag and put back. The probability that both chips are red or that both chips are blue is 5/16. The probability that the first chip is red and the second chip is not red is 1/4.
Asked: If one chip is drawn from the bag at random, what is the probability to draw a blue chip?
Let red, blue and green chips be R, B & G respectively
T = R + B + G
One chip is drawn at random from the bag and put back, then again one chip is drawn at random from the bag and put back. The probability that both chips are red or that both chips are blue is 5/16.
R/T * R/T + B/T * B/T = 5/16
Rˆ2/Tˆ2 + Bˆ2/Tˆ2 = 5/16
The probability that the first chip is red and the second chip is not red is 1/4.
R/T * (1 - R/T) = 1/4
R/T = 1/2
Bˆ2/Tˆ2 = 5/16 - 1/4 = 1/16
B/T = 1/4
IMO C