Probability that a team from Texas in the Western Conference reaches the Big Game, say P(T
W) = 2/10 = 1/5
Probability that a team not from Texas in the Western Conference reaches the Big Game, (1-P(T
W)) =1 - 2/10 = 8/10 = 4/5
Similarly,
Probability that a team from Texas in the Eastern Conference reaches the Big Game, P(T
E) = 2/8= 1/4
Probability that a team not from Texas in the Western Conference reaches the Big Game, (1-P(T
E) =1 - 2/8 = 6/8 = 3/4
If only one of the teams from Texas plays the Big Game, then the probability that the team from Texas win in that game is 1/2
If both teams in the Big Game are from Texas, we are not concerned about the outcome of the Big Game
Now, the probability that a team from Texas wins = P(T
W)*(1-P(T
E))*(1/2)+(1-P(T
W))*P(T
E)*(1/2)+P(T
W)*P(T
E)[/m]
\(=\frac{1}{5}*\frac{3}{4}*\frac{1}{2} + \frac{4}{5}*\frac{1}{4}*\frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{5}*\frac{1}{4} = \frac{9}{40}\)
Answer is
(C)Hit Kudos if this helped!