Bunuel
James, Kara and Smith are three friends who have applied for a job at Company X. Their probabilities of getting selected for interview are 2/5, 1/3 and 4/7 respectively. If Company X offers a job to only 25% of the applicants it interviews, what is the probability that only Kara receives a job offer out of the three friends?
A. 1/12
B. 9/140
C. 1/42
D. 27/2240
E. 2/175
Solution:The probability that only Kara receives a job offer out of the three friends is the probability that Kara receives a job offer AND James does not receive a job offer AND Smith does not receive a job offer. Because we use the word “and,” we will use the multiplication rule.
P(only Kara receives a job offer) = P(Kara receives a job offer) x P(James does not receive a job offer) x P(Smith does not receive a job offer)
Now let’s determine the probability of each.
P(Kara receives a job offer) = P(she gets an interview) x P(she gets the job offer, given that she’s gotten an interview) = 1/3 x 1/4 = 1/12
P(James does not receive a job offer) = P(he does not get an interview) + P(he gets an interview) x P(he doesn’t get the job offer given that he’s gotten an interview) = 3/5 + 2/5 x 3/4 = 3/5 + 3/10 = 9/10
P(Smith does not receive a job offer) = P(he does not get an interview) + P(he gets an interview) x P(he doesn’t get the job offer given that he’s gotten an interview) = 3/7 + 4/7 x 3/4 = 3/7 + 3/7 = 6/7
Therefore,
P(only Kara receives a job offer) = 1/12 x 9/10 x 6/7 = 1/2 x 9/10 x 1/7 = 9/140
Answer: B